Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETMentions

What will Trump say in October?

Name: What will Trump say in October?
End: 2026-10-31T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.15K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will Trump say in October?

Vol

$10.15K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.15K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.15K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Trump say "Caddie" in October?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump say "Caddie" in October?	Poly	62%
Will Trump say "Slob" in October?	Poly	61%
Will Trump say "Weave" in October?	Poly	57%
Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?	Poly	52%
Will Trump say "Illness" in October?	Poly	52%
Will Trump say "Newborn" in October?	Poly	45%
Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in October?	Poly	39%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?	Poly	38%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

62%

Top Probability

$10.15K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's tim

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Trump say in October?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 31, 2026 (20 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's tim

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Wr"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.1K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump say "Dancing in the Street" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $157
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump say "Slob" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $74
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $359
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump say "Neurotic" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $202
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump say "Caddie" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $97
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump say "Illness" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $72
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump say "Newborn" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $195
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trump say "Weave" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $157
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETMentions