Name: Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
End: 2026-01-29T07:15:00.000Z

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Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs | PredictPedia

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Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Single-Platform Markets(48)

Market	Platform	Price
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Poly	50%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner	Poly	50%
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 3?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?	Poly	50%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Amaru Gaming and Heroic in the PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 9:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Amaru Gaming" if Amaru Gaming win the match against Heroic.

This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against Amaru Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market wil

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Amaru Gaming and Heroic in the PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for January 28 at 9:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Amaru Gaming" if Amaru Gaming win the match against Heroic.

This market will resolve to "Heroic" if H"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $175
* **Total Liquidity:** $15
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 11.74)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Amaru Gaming: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Heroic: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs Amaru Gaming (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Amaru Gaming: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Heroic: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. First Blood in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Amaru Gaming: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Heroic: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 40. Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 41. Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 44. Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 45. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 46. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 47. Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 48. Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Events (1)

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Markets (48)

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

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Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?

Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

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