Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Golden Boy 2026 Winner

Name: Golden Boy 2026 Winner
End: 2026-12-31T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$14.23K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Golden Boy 2026 Winner

Vol

$14.23K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $14.23K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.23K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

33 markets tracked

Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(33)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	98%
Will Warren Zaire-Emery win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	1%
Will Leny Yoro win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	1%
Will Arda Guler win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Kenan Yildiz win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Jobe Bellingham win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Antonio Nusa win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Estevao win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Jon Martin win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Charalampos Kostoulas win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Franco Mastantuono win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Ethan Nwaneri win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Myles Lewis-Skelly win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Rodrigo Mora win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Geovany Quenda win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Ayyoub Bouaddi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Yan Diomande win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Luka Vuskovic win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Victor Froholdt win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Rayan win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Jorrel Hato win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Lennart Karl win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Endrick win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Eli Junior Kroupi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Gianluca Prestianni win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Konstantinos Karetsas win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Said El Mala win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Marc Bernal win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Kerim Alajbegovic win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Finn Jeltsch win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Joane Gadou win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%
Will Xavi Espart win the 2026 Golden Boy award?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$14.23K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Golden Boy award winner. If no 2026 Golden Boy award winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tuttosport. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Golden Boy 2026 Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (81 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Golden Boy award winner.

If no 2026 Golden Boy award winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tuttosport. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Golden Boy award winner.

If no 2026 Golden Boy award winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official informat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $33.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.42)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Estevao win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $565
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Kenan Yildiz win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $406
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Arda Guler win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $614
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $676
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Franco Mastantuono win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $438
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ethan Nwaneri win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $502
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Myles Lewis-Skelly win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $450
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Warren Zaire-Emery win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Rodrigo Mora win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $475
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Jobe Bellingham win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $434
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Leny Yoro win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $481
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Antonio Nusa win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $515
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Geovany Quenda win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $461
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Ayyoub Bouaddi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $202
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Yan Diomande win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $76
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Luka Vuskovic win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $204
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Victor Froholdt win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $253
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Rayan win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $208
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Jorrel Hato win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $95
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Lennart Karl win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $283
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Endrick win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Eli Junior Kroupi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $235
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Gianluca Prestianni win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $174
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Konstantinos Karetsas win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $193
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Said El Mala win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $293
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Jon Martin win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $192
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Marc Bernal win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $211
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Kerim Alajbegovic win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $247
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Finn Jeltsch win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $174
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Charalampos Kostoulas win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $192
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Joane Gadou win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $174
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Xavi Espart win the 2026 Golden Boy award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $186
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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