Japan Nominal GDP in 2026 | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.0 trillion)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.0 trillion)	Kalshi	94%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.1 trillion)	Kalshi	91%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.2 trillion)	Kalshi	73%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.3 trillion)	Kalshi	62%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.4 trillion)	Kalshi	44%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.5 trillion)	Kalshi	32%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.6 trillion)	Kalshi	15%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.8 trillion)	Kalshi	9%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.9 trillion)	Kalshi	8%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.7 trillion)	Kalshi	8%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $5.0 trillion)	Kalshi	7%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $5.1 trillion)	Kalshi	6%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $5.2 trillion)	Kalshi	6%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $5.3 trillion)	Kalshi	5%
Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $5.4 trillion)	Kalshi	3%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Japan Nominal GDP in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If Japan Nominal GDP is above X trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 Japan Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Japan Nominal GDP is above $5.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 Japan Nominal GDP data. This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year. Early close condition: This market will close an"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $5.4 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $5.3 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $5.2 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $5.1 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $5.0 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.9 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.8 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.7 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.6 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.5 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.4 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.3 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.2 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.1 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.0 trillion)
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

31¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/cMGGjs" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Japan Nominal GDP in 2026"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.0 trillion)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026

Markets (15)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.0 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.0 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.1 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.1 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.2 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.2 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.3 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.3 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.4 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.4 trillion)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.0 trillion)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.0 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.0 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.1 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.1 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.2 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.2 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.3 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.3 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.4 trillion)

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026? (Above $4.4 trillion)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget