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Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?

Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
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K 7.3K contracts

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Markets

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 7.3K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

18

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Dec 31, 2026 If X has a model on the Pareto frontier of Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index vs. Cost per Intelligence Index Task chart on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolves at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, using the chart on artificialanalysis.ai with the Pareto line shown. X model counts for the creator Artificial Analysis lists for it. X model is on the frontier if the chart's Pareto line passes through it: no other plotted model has an Intelligence Index at least as high and a Cost per Task at least as low, both unrounded, with one of the two strictly better; models with identical values are both on it. X model without a positive Cost per Task is not plotted and cannot be on the frontier.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Reviewed equivalent pairs

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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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