Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	43%
Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	24%
Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	19%
Will Yair Lapid become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Yariv Levin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Benny Gantz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Yoaz Hendel become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Yair Golan become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Yossi Cohen become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Nir Barkat become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Moshe Feiglin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Israel Katz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Gideon Sa'ar become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ayelet Shaked become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Amir Ohana become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Oct 27, 2027

If X becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this contract, these rules will satisfy the payout criterion: The person must be formally appointed, sworn in, or invested according to the country's constitutional procedures and command the confidence of the parliament/legislature through 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yariv Levin becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For the purposes of this contract, these rules will sat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yariv Levin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yair Lapid become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yoaz Hendel become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Yair Golan become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Yossi Cohen become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Nir Barkat become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Moshe Feiglin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Israel Katz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Itamar Ben Gvir become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Gideon Sa'ar become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Benny Gantz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Ayelet Shaked become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Amir Ohana become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

7¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/caKz4s" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Markets (17)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yair Lapid become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yair Lapid become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yariv Levin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yariv Levin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yair Lapid become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yair Lapid become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yariv Levin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Yariv Levin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget