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Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

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Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

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18 markets tracked

Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

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Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	46%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	37%
Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	15%
Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	5%
Will Gideon Sa'ar become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Yuli Edelstein become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Yossi Cohen become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Benny Gantz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	4%
Will Yariv Levin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	3%
Will Yair Lapid become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Yoaz Hendel become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Yair Golan become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Nir Barkat become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Moshe Feiglin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Israel Katz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ayelet Shaked become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%
Will Amir Ohana become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

Before Oct 27, 2027 If X becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliame

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Oct 27, 2027

If X becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliame

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yuli Edelstein becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to the first person who, as a re"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yuli Edelstein become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yariv Levin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Yair Lapid become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Yoaz Hendel become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Yair Golan become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Yossi Cohen become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Nir Barkat become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Moshe Feiglin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Israel Katz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Itamar Ben Gvir become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Gideon Sa'ar become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Benny Gantz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Ayelet Shaked become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Amir Ohana become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

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Markets18

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KALSHI

Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.5¢No 54.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to the first person who, as a res

KALSHI

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to the first person who, as

KALSHI

Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Naftali Bennett becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to the first person who, as a r

KALSHI

Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Avigdor Lieberman becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to the first person who, as a

KALSHI

Will Gideon Sa'ar become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Gideon Sa'ar become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

If Gideon Sa'ar becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to the first person who, as a resu

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Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

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Events (1)

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Markets (18)

Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gideon Sa'ar become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gideon Sa'ar become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

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Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gideon Sa'ar become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Gideon Sa'ar become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

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