Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Atlanta vs New Orleans: Points Escalator

Reported volume

K 7.38 contracts

Events

Markets

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Atlanta vs New Orleans: Points Escalator

Vol

K 7.38 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Zion Williamson at 45%.

Kalshi

Zion Williamson45%
Trey Murphy III45%
Dejounte Murray45%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker45%
Jalen Johnson45%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

6 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Zion Williamson player points escalator

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Zion Williamson player points escalator	Kalshi	45.0%
Trey Murphy III player points escalator	Kalshi	45.0%
Dejounte Murray player points escalator	Kalshi	45.0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker player points escalator	Kalshi	45.0%
Jalen Johnson player points escalator	Kalshi	45.0%
CJ McCollum player points escalator	Kalshi	45.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 7.38 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

ATL vs NOP (Oct 31) If Each Yes contract pays per points recorded X vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. Each 2 points scored increases the payout by the following schedule: 0–1 points, $0.0000; 2–3, $0.0000; 4–5, $0.0005; 6–7, $0.0017; 8–9, $0.0040; 10–11, $0.0080; 12–13, $0.0138; 14–15, $0.0219; 16–17, $0.0327; 18–19, $0.0466; 20–21, $0.0640; 22–23, $0.0851; 24–25, $0.1105; 26–27, $0.1406; 28–29, $0.1756; 30–31, $0.2160; 32–33, $0.2621; 34–35, $0.3144; 36–37, $0.3732; 38–39, $0.4389; 40–41, $0.5120; 42–43, $0.5927; 44–45, $0.6814; 46–47, $0.7786; 48–49, $0.8847; and 50 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation: Payout Formula = floor, 10000 x, y / 50, ^3, / 10000 y = min, 50, max, 0, 2 x floor, s / 2, , , s = official player points The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Zero scored points pays Yes $0.00. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market may close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Atlanta vs New Orleans: Points Escalator
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 7.38 contracts
Coverage: 6 of 6 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Zion Williamson player points escalator
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAESCALATORPTS-26OCT31ATLNOP-NOPZWILLIAMSON1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaescalatorpts-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.23 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Each Yes contract pays per points recorded by Zion Williamson in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. Each 2 points scored increases the payout by the following schedule: 0–1 points, $0.0000; 2–3, $0.0000; 4–5, $0.0005; 6–7, $0.0017; 8–9, $0.0040; 10–11, $0.0080; 12–13, $0.0138; 14–15, $0.0219; 16–17, $0.0327; 18–19, $0.0466; 20–21, $0.0640; 22–23, $0.0851; 24–25, $0.1105; 26–27, $0.1406; 28–29, $0.1756; 30–31, $0.2160; 32–33, $0.2621; 34–35, $0.3144; 36–37, $0.3732; 38–39, $0.4389; 40–41, $0.5120; 42–43, $0.5927; 44–45, $0.6814; 46–47, $0.7786; 48–49, $0.8847; and 50 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation:
Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 50)^3) / 10000
y = min(50, max(0, 2 x floor(s / 2)))
s = official player points

The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Zero scored points pays Yes $0.00.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademark

Contract: Trey Murphy III player points escalator
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAESCALATORPTS-26OCT31ATLNOP-NOPTMURPHY25; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaescalatorpts-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.23 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Each Yes contract pays per points recorded by Trey Murphy III in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. Each 2 points scored increases the payout by the following schedule: 0–1 points, $0.0000; 2–3, $0.0000; 4–5, $0.0005; 6–7, $0.0017; 8–9, $0.0040; 10–11, $0.0080; 12–13, $0.0138; 14–15, $0.0219; 16–17, $0.0327; 18–19, $0.0466; 20–21, $0.0640; 22–23, $0.0851; 24–25, $0.1105; 26–27, $0.1406; 28–29, $0.1756; 30–31, $0.2160; 32–33, $0.2621; 34–35, $0.3144; 36–37, $0.3732; 38–39, $0.4389; 40–41, $0.5120; 42–43, $0.5927; 44–45, $0.6814; 46–47, $0.7786; 48–49, $0.8847; and 50 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation:
Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 50)^3) / 10000
y = min(50, max(0, 2 x floor(s / 2)))
s = official player points

The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Zero scored points pays Yes $0.00.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademark

Contract: Dejounte Murray player points escalator
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAESCALATORPTS-26OCT31ATLNOP-NOPDMURRAY5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaescalatorpts-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.23 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Each Yes contract pays per points recorded by Dejounte Murray in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. Each 2 points scored increases the payout by the following schedule: 0–1 points, $0.0000; 2–3, $0.0000; 4–5, $0.0005; 6–7, $0.0017; 8–9, $0.0040; 10–11, $0.0080; 12–13, $0.0138; 14–15, $0.0219; 16–17, $0.0327; 18–19, $0.0466; 20–21, $0.0640; 22–23, $0.0851; 24–25, $0.1105; 26–27, $0.1406; 28–29, $0.1756; 30–31, $0.2160; 32–33, $0.2621; 34–35, $0.3144; 36–37, $0.3732; 38–39, $0.4389; 40–41, $0.5120; 42–43, $0.5927; 44–45, $0.6814; 46–47, $0.7786; 48–49, $0.8847; and 50 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation:
Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 50)^3) / 10000
y = min(50, max(0, 2 x floor(s / 2)))
s = official player points

The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Zero scored points pays Yes $0.00.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademark

Contract: Nickeil Alexander-Walker player points escalator
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAESCALATORPTS-26OCT31ATLNOP-ATLNALEXANDERWALKER7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaescalatorpts-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.23 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Each Yes contract pays per points recorded by Nickeil Alexander-Walker in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. Each 2 points scored increases the payout by the following schedule: 0–1 points, $0.0000; 2–3, $0.0000; 4–5, $0.0005; 6–7, $0.0017; 8–9, $0.0040; 10–11, $0.0080; 12–13, $0.0138; 14–15, $0.0219; 16–17, $0.0327; 18–19, $0.0466; 20–21, $0.0640; 22–23, $0.0851; 24–25, $0.1105; 26–27, $0.1406; 28–29, $0.1756; 30–31, $0.2160; 32–33, $0.2621; 34–35, $0.3144; 36–37, $0.3732; 38–39, $0.4389; 40–41, $0.5120; 42–43, $0.5927; 44–45, $0.6814; 46–47, $0.7786; 48–49, $0.8847; and 50 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation:
Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 50)^3) / 10000
y = min(50, max(0, 2 x floor(s / 2)))
s = official player points

The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Zero scored points pays Yes $0.00.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All 

Contract: Jalen Johnson player points escalator
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAESCALATORPTS-26OCT31ATLNOP-ATLJJOHNSON1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaescalatorpts-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.23 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Each Yes contract pays per points recorded by Jalen Johnson in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. Each 2 points scored increases the payout by the following schedule: 0–1 points, $0.0000; 2–3, $0.0000; 4–5, $0.0005; 6–7, $0.0017; 8–9, $0.0040; 10–11, $0.0080; 12–13, $0.0138; 14–15, $0.0219; 16–17, $0.0327; 18–19, $0.0466; 20–21, $0.0640; 22–23, $0.0851; 24–25, $0.1105; 26–27, $0.1406; 28–29, $0.1756; 30–31, $0.2160; 32–33, $0.2621; 34–35, $0.3144; 36–37, $0.3732; 38–39, $0.4389; 40–41, $0.5120; 42–43, $0.5927; 44–45, $0.6814; 46–47, $0.7786; 48–49, $0.8847; and 50 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation:
Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 50)^3) / 10000
y = min(50, max(0, 2 x floor(s / 2)))
s = official player points

The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Zero scored points pays Yes $0.00.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks,

Contract: CJ McCollum player points escalator
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNBAESCALATORPTS-26OCT31ATLNOP-ATLCMCCOLLUM3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnbaescalatorpts-26oct31atlnop
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.23 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): If Each Yes contract pays per points recorded by CJ McCollum in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026. Each 2 points scored increases the payout by the following schedule: 0–1 points, $0.0000; 2–3, $0.0000; 4–5, $0.0005; 6–7, $0.0017; 8–9, $0.0040; 10–11, $0.0080; 12–13, $0.0138; 14–15, $0.0219; 16–17, $0.0327; 18–19, $0.0466; 20–21, $0.0640; 22–23, $0.0851; 24–25, $0.1105; 26–27, $0.1406; 28–29, $0.1756; 30–31, $0.2160; 32–33, $0.2621; 34–35, $0.3144; 36–37, $0.3732; 38–39, $0.4389; 40–41, $0.5120; 42–43, $0.5927; 44–45, $0.6814; 46–47, $0.7786; 48–49, $0.8847; and 50 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation:
Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 50)^3) / 10000
y = min(50, max(0, 2 x floor(s / 2)))
s = official player points

The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Zero scored points pays Yes $0.00.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, l

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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