Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETMentions

What companies will Trump mention in October?

Name: What companies will Trump mention in October?
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.04K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What companies will Trump mention in October?

Vol

$10.04K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.04K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.04K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?	Poly	56%
Will Trump say "Boeing" in October?	Poly	54%
Will Trump say "TikTok" or "ByteDance" in October?	Poly	52%
Will Trump say "Visa" in October?	Poly	50%
Will Trump say "BMW" in October?	Poly	46%
Will Trump say "Oracle" in October?	Poly	46%
Will Trump say "Qualcomm" in October?	Poly	31%
Will Trump say "Airbus" in October?	Poly	27%
Will Trump say "Hyperliquid" in October?	Poly	27%
Will Trump say "Ferrari" in October?	Poly	24%
Will Trump say "Discord" in October?	Poly	21%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$10.04K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.am

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What companies will Trump mention in October?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 1, 2026 (20 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.am

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's re"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $659
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.39)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump say "Airbus" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $583
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump say "BMW" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $691
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump say "Boeing" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $120
  DATA: [Yes: 54.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $616
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump say "Discord" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $26
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump say "Ferrari" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $90
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump say "Hyperliquid" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trump say "Oracle" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $185
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Trump say "Qualcomm" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $252
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Trump say "TikTok" or "ByteDance" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $282
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Trump say "Visa" in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.2% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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