Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?

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$0.00

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Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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2 markets tracked

Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

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Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?	Kalshi	65%
Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?	Kalshi	35%

AI Analysis

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65%

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$0.00

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About This Event

In 2027 If X wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2027 Kentucky Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close after X wins the party's nomination.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2027

If X wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2027 Kentucky Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close after X wins the party's nomination.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Rocky Adkins wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2027 Kentucky Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Ear"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 17, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?

Volume$0.00

Markets2

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KALSHI

Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

If Rocky Adkins wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2027 Kentucky Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Ear

KALSHI

Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.0¢No 65.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

If Jacqueline Coleman wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2027 Kentucky Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for detail

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/cfjK-t" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?"></iframe>

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Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?

Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?

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Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Events (1)

Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?

Markets (2)

Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

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Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?

Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

Will Rocky Adkins be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

Will Jacqueline Coleman be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Kentucky?

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Discussion

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