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MegaETH airdrop by...? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

MegaETH airdrop by...?

Name: MegaETH airdrop by...?
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$532.18K

Events

Markets

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MegaETH airdrop by...?

Vol

$532.18K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $532.18K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $532.18K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	Poly	95%
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?	Poly	18%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MegaETH airdrop by...?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 30, 2026 (166 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** this is a market on MegaETH airdrop

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFT"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $121.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $16.8K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 7.21)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? 
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 21, 2025): Vol $114.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31? 
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $6.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

165d 17h remaining

Jun 30, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

57¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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MegaETH airdrop by...?

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Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)