Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

United States Grand Prix: Constructor Pole Position

Name: United States Grand Prix: Constructor Pole Position
End: 2026-10-31T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$97.35

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

United States Grand Prix: Constructor Pole Position

Vol

$97.35

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $97.35

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $97.35

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Alpine get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alpine get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Ferrari get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Mclaren Mastercard get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Red Bull get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Racing Bulls get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Poly	50%
Will Aston Martin get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Poly	25%
Will Williams get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Poly	25%
Will Audi Revolut get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Poly	25%
Will Cadillac get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Poly	25%
Will Tgr Haas get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Poly	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$97.35

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix. The market will be

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** United States Grand Prix: Constructor Pole Position
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 31, 2026 (20 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 24, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix. The market will be

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 24, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resol"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $97
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alpine get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Aston Martin get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $17
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Williams get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $17
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Audi Revolut get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $17
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Cadillac get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $17
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ferrari get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Tgr Haas get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $17
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Mclaren Mastercard get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Red Bull get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Racing Bulls get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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