Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

QPR vs Derby: Total Goals

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QPR vs Derby: Total Goals

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

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markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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6 markets tracked

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	94%
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	77%
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	53%
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	30%
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	15%
Will over 5.5 goals be scored?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

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94%

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About This Event

QPR vs DER (Oct 14) If over X goals are scored in the QPR vs Derby professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** QPR vs Derby: Total Goals
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** QPR vs DER (Oct 14)

If over X goals are scored in the QPR vs Derby professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If over 5.5 goals are scored in the QPR vs Derby professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, aut"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will over 5.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will over 4.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will over 3.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will over 2.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will over 0.5 goals be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

QPR vs Derby: Total Goals

Volume$0.00

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

If over 0.5 goals are scored in the QPR vs Derby professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, aut

KALSHI

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 77.0¢No 23.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

If over 1.5 goals are scored in the QPR vs Derby professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, aut

KALSHI

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

If over 2.5 goals are scored in the QPR vs Derby professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, aut

KALSHI

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.0¢No 70.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

If over 3.5 goals are scored in the QPR vs Derby professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, aut

KALSHI

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

If over 4.5 goals are scored in the QPR vs Derby professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, aut

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QPR vs Derby: Total Goals

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Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

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Events (1)

QPR vs Derby: Total Goals

Markets (6)

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

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Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

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QPR vs Derby: Total Goals

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 0.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 2.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

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