GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

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How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

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Kalshi

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0.0%avg

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10 markets tracked

Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?	Kalshi	44%
Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?	Kalshi	33%
Will the next President confirm 0 Supreme Court justices?	Kalshi	20%
Will the next President confirm 3 Supreme Court justices?	Kalshi	3%
Will the next President confirm 4 Supreme Court justices?	Kalshi	2%
Will the next President confirm 6 Supreme Court justices?	Kalshi	1%
Will the next President confirm 8 Supreme Court justices?	Kalshi	1%
Will the next President confirm 7 Supreme Court justices?	Kalshi	1%
Will the next President confirm 5 Supreme Court justices?	Kalshi	1%
Will the next President confirm 9 Supreme Court justices?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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44%

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About This Event

During the 2025-2029 term If X Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** During the 2025-2029 term

If X Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If 9 Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the next President confirm 9 Supreme Court justices?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the next President confirm 8 Supreme Court justices?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the next President confirm 7 Supreme Court justices?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the next President confirm 6 Supreme Court justices?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the next President confirm 5 Supreme Court justices?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the next President confirm 4 Supreme Court justices?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the next President confirm 3 Supreme Court justices?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the next President confirm 0 Supreme Court justices?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

During the 2025-2029 term If X Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$0.00

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?

If 1 Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?

If 2 Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the next President confirm 0 Supreme Court justices?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the next President confirm 0 Supreme Court justices?

If 0 Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the next President confirm 3 Supreme Court justices?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.8¢No 97.3¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the next President confirm 3 Supreme Court justices?

If 3 Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will the next President confirm 4 Supreme Court justices?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 1.8¢No 98.3¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the next President confirm 4 Supreme Court justices?

If 4 Supreme Court Justices are confirmed during the 2025-2029 presidential term, then the market resolves to Yes.

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11¢

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Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?

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Events (1)

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

Markets (10)

Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 0 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 0 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 3 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 3 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 4 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 4 Supreme Court justices?

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Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 1 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 2 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 0 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 0 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 3 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 3 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 4 Supreme Court justices?

Will the next President confirm 4 Supreme Court justices?

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