Name: LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group
End: 2026-01-30T00:00:00.000Z

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LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group | PredictPedia

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5 markets tracked

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 Winner

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Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 Winner	Poly	99%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	51%
LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winner	Poly	48%
Game Handicap: MCN (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)	Poly	46%
LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group	Poly	1%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 30, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between mCon esports and Once Upon A Team in the Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group, scheduled for January 29 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "mCon esports" if mCon esports win the match against Once Upon A Team.

This market will resolve to "Once Upon A Team" if Once Upon A Team win the match against mCon esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL match between mCon esports and Once Upon A Team in the Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group, scheduled for January 29 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to "mCon esports" if mCon esports win the match against Once Upon A Team.

This market will resolve to "Once Upon A Team"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.3K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 10.81)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $24.9K
  DATA: [mCon esports: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [Once Upon A Team: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $63
  DATA: [mCon esports: 47.7% (0.0%)] | [Once Upon A Team: 52.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $342
  DATA: [mCon esports: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [Once Upon A Team: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: MCN (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 30, 2026): Vol $67
  DATA: [mCon esports: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [Once Upon A Team: 54.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

49¢

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LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group

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LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 Winner

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group

Markets (5)

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winner

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winner

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 Winner

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Game Handicap: MCN (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)

Game Handicap: MCN (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)

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LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 Winner

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LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Group

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winner

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winner

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 Winner

LoL: mCon esports vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 Winner

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Games Total: Over/Under 2.5

Game Handicap: MCN (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)

Game Handicap: MCN (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)

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