About This Event

On Oct 25, 2026 If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is X Y Z 9%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the share of valid votes, votos válidos, excluding blank and null votes, received by the candidate named in the market minus the share received by the other candidate in the runoff if the named candidate wins, or the share of the candidate that finishes first if the named candidate loses. If the named candidat