Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Will Trump visit China?

Total Volume

$10.28K

Events

Markets

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Will Trump visit China?

Vol

$10.28K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $10.28K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.28K

100%

Kalshi leads

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2 markets tracked

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	93%
Will Donald Trump visit China before Dec 1, 2026?	Kalshi	90%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$10.28K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Donald Trump visit to China If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of China after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or schedul

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Trump visit China?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Donald Trump visit to China

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of China after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the person remains in an airplane Virtual or remote appearances Presence in international waters adjacent to the area Presence solely within embassy or consulate grounds Plans, announcements, or schedul

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of China after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following do NOT constitute a visit:

Flying over the area without landing
Layovers during which the per"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Donald Trump visit China before Dec 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump visit China?

Volume$10.28K

Markets2

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KALSHI

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of China after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the per

KALSHI

Will Donald Trump visit China before Dec 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.5¢No 10.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Donald Trump visit China before Dec 1, 2026?

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of China after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following do NOT constitute a visit: Flying over the area without landing Layovers during which the per

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/csK0EV" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will Trump visit China?"></iframe>

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Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

Will Trump visit China?

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Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit China before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Donald Trump visit China before Dec 1, 2026?

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Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will Trump visit China?

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit China before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Donald Trump visit China before Dec 1, 2026?

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