GroupKALSHI

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IMO 2026 Winner?

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IMO 2026 Winner?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will China win the IMO 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will China win the IMO 2026?	Kalshi	74%
Will United States win the IMO 2026?	Kalshi	18%
Will South Korea win the IMO 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will Japan win the IMO 2026?	Kalshi	3%
Will Poland win the IMO 2026?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

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$0.00

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About This Event

On Jul 21, 2026 If X wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** IMO 2026 Winner?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Jul 21, 2026

If X wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If United States wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will United States win the IMO 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will South Korea win the IMO 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Poland win the IMO 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Japan win the IMO 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will China win the IMO 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 20, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

IMO 2026 Winner?

Volume$0.00

Markets5

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KALSHI

Will China win the IMO 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.5¢No 26.5¢

KALSHISports

Will China win the IMO 2026?

If China wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

KALSHI

Will United States win the IMO 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHISports

Will United States win the IMO 2026?

If United States wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

KALSHI

Will South Korea win the IMO 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHISports

Will South Korea win the IMO 2026?

If South Korea wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

KALSHI

Will Japan win the IMO 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Japan win the IMO 2026?

If Japan wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

KALSHI

Will Poland win the IMO 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Poland win the IMO 2026?

If Poland wins IMO 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

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21¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/cuRTk4" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="IMO 2026 Winner?"></iframe>

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IMO 2026 Winner?

IMO 2026 Winner?

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Will China win the IMO 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

IMO 2026 Winner?

Markets (5)

Will China win the IMO 2026?

Will China win the IMO 2026?

Will United States win the IMO 2026?

Will United States win the IMO 2026?

Will South Korea win the IMO 2026?

Will South Korea win the IMO 2026?

Will Japan win the IMO 2026?

Will Japan win the IMO 2026?

Will Poland win the IMO 2026?

Will Poland win the IMO 2026?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will China win the IMO 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

IMO 2026 Winner?

Will China win the IMO 2026?

Will China win the IMO 2026?

Will United States win the IMO 2026?

Will United States win the IMO 2026?

Will South Korea win the IMO 2026?

Will South Korea win the IMO 2026?

Will Japan win the IMO 2026?

Will Japan win the IMO 2026?

Will Poland win the IMO 2026?

Will Poland win the IMO 2026?

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