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Events
GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Pro Football All-Purpose Yards Leader

Pro Football All-Purpose Yards Leader
Vol

PM $66.3K · K 687.7K contracts

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Events

7

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Markets

180

Polymarket vs Kalshi

Snapshot from

As of Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is priced at 57.5% on Polymarket and 55% on Kalshi.

Outcome (Yes price)PolymarketKalshiGap
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSame question, fine print differs57.5%55%2.5 pts
CeeDee LambSame question, fine print differs11%10.5%0.5 pts
George PickensSame question, fine print differs3.5%0.5%3.0 pts
Zay FlowersSame question, fine print differs3.3%1%2.3 pts
Chris OlaveSame question, fine print differs3.2%1.5%1.7 pts
Drake LondonSame question, fine print differs3.1%1%2.1 pts
Amon-Ra St. BrownSame question, fine print differs2.8%2%0.8 pts
Malik NabersSame question, fine print differs2.5%1.5%1.0 pts

Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $66.3K · K 687.7K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

180

Saved contracts

44

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

2026-27 Regular Season If X leads Pro Football in all-purpose yards for the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. All-purpose yards are calculated by adding up a player's total yards gained from rushing, receiving, and all types of returns, punts, kickoffs, interceptions, and fumbles. The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire regular season as documented by the official league statistics. Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the 2026-27 regular season are included. Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded. If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined. Participants who do not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No. League minimum qualification thresholds apply. In case of exact ties where the league does not declare a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout. Statistical corrections are only considered if made before the expiration date. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the season ends earlier than expected.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-11-08T03:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied rules cover season-leader questions for the 2026-27 regular season. Kalshi's all-purpose yards contract resolves Yes if the named player has the highest total across the regular season, counting "rushing, receiving, and all types of returns, punts, kickoffs, interceptions, and fumbles" [1]. Polymarket's receiving and rushing yards contracts resolve to the player who "finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most" yards in that category [2][3]. Kalshi's receiving touchdowns contract uses a similar leader structure, excluding preseason and postseason games [4].

Tie rules differ. Kalshi pays tied participants proportionally when the league does not declare a single winner [1][4]. Polymarket breaks ties by touchdowns, then by yards per reception or per carry, and resolves to "Other" if a tie persists [2][3].

Listed close times also differ. The Kalshi all-purpose yards excerpt says the listed end time is not supplied [1], but its market rows show an end date of 2027-02-08T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket's receiving and rushing yards events list 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [2][3]. Polymarket receiving touchdown rows show both 2027-01-12T23:59:00.000Z and 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z, but the supplied sources do not include that event's rules.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-11-08T03:00:06Z, and the retrieval time is 2026-11-08T03:38:23Z. These are past snapshot values, not live quotes or verified probabilities.

In the Kalshi all-purpose yards sample, nine included contracts are priced at 0.455 Yes, with Jahmyr Gibbs at 0.425 and Dohnte Meyers at 0.42. This is 12 of 35 markets [1]. In the Polymarket receiving yards sample, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is at 0.71 Yes, followed by Puka Nacua at 0.094. This is 12 of 22 markets [2]. The Polymarket rushing yards sample is complete at 11 of 11 markets, with Gibbs at 0.235 and Bijan Robinson at 0.202 [3].

Cross-platform comparisons need caution. Smith-Njigba appears on both Kalshi and Polymarket receiving yards contracts, at 0.695 and 0.71 respectively, but the tie rules and close times differ. This is a wording difference, not an arbitrage signal. Volume and trader counts are not supplied, so the prices cannot show liquidity or consensus.

What remains uncertain

Most samples are partial. Omitted players were not priced below the included ones. The sample only reflects the saved ranking of up to 12 markets per event. The supplied rules do not include excerpts for the Kalshi receiving yards or rushing yards events, so their resolution terms cannot be compared here. The reason for any price level is not established by these sources, and prices may have changed since the snapshot.

References

  1. Kalshi: Pro Football All-Purpose Yards Leader. Provider data observed 2026-11-08T03:00:06.076Z.
  2. Polymarket: Pro Football: 2026-27 Receiving Yards Leader. Provider data observed 2026-11-08T03:00:06.076Z.
  3. Polymarket: Pro Football: 2026-27 Rushing Yards Leader. Provider data observed 2026-11-08T03:00:06.076Z.
  4. Kalshi: Pro Football Receiving Touchdowns Leader. Provider data observed 2026-11-08T03:00:06.076Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Overview

This contract is a Kalshi market on the Pro Football all-purpose yards leader for the 2026-27 regular season. It resolves to Yes if the named participant leads Pro Football in all-purpose yards for that season, as documented by official league statistics [1]. The contract's rules define all-purpose yards as the total of a player's rushing yards, receiving yards, and all types of returns, punts, kickoffs, interceptions, and fumbles [1]. A Wikipedia entry on the statistic describes it as a combined total of rushing yards, receiving yards, and all forms of return yards, and notes that some sources do not specify which return types count [6]. The Kalshi rules settle that question by listing the components explicitly [1]. Several rules shape how a player's total is counted. Only games officially designated as part of the 2026-27 regular season are included, and preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, and all-star statistics are excluded [1]. If a participant plays for more than one team during the season, statistics from all teams are combined [1]. A participant who does not play any games because of injury, suspension, retirement, or another reason resolves to No [1]. Where the league does not declare a single winner after an exact tie, tied participants receive a proportional payout [1]. Statistical corrections count only if they are made before the expiration date [1]. The contract also states that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league, and that it will close and expire early if the season ends earlier than expected [1]. The provider's rules for this event do not supply a listed end time, so the contract's rules should be read for the closing conditions rather than assuming a specific date. The market rows in the evidence carry a date field, but a date in contract data is not an announced event date or a resolution date. Related contracts on the same topic exist for receiving yards, rushing yards, and receiving touchdowns, on both Kalshi and Polymarket [2][3][4]. Those contracts use their own statistical definitions and tie-break rules, so their results should not be compared with the all-purpose yards contract as if they measured the same thing. The Polymarket receiving and rushing contracts, for example, use the same regular season window but define their tie breaks by touchdowns or yards per attempt rather than by proportional payout [2][3].

Why It Matters

The contract measures which player will finish the 2026-27 regular season with the highest combined all-purpose yards across all games officially designated as regular season games [1]. Because the total combines rushing, receiving, and return yards, the measure rewards players who contribute across several roles rather than only one statistical category [1][6]. The rules also determine what happens in unusual cases, including injury-related absence, mid-season team changes, and exact ties, which affect how a Yes or No outcome is decided [1]. Anyone reading the contract should rely on the official rule text for these details, since the provider excerpt is a summary of how the market resolves [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-08 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi and Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What counts toward all-purpose yards in this contract?

The contract counts a player's total yards gained from rushing, receiving, and all types of returns, punts, kickoffs, interceptions, and fumbles [1]. Background on the statistic describes it as rushing, receiving, and return yards only [6].

Do preseason or playoff games count?

No. Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, and all-star statistics are excluded, and only games officially designated as part of the 2026-27 regular season are included [1].

What happens if a participant does not play?

A participant who does not play any games because of injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolves to No [1].

How are statistics handled if a player changes teams?

If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined [1].

What happens in a tie?

In case of exact ties where the league does not declare a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout [1].

When does the contract close?

The contract states that it will close and expire early if the season ends earlier than expected [1]. The provider's listing for this event does not supply an end time [1].

Is the contract affiliated with the governing league?

The contract states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Nov 8, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiSports
Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader

Pro Football: 2026-27 Passing Touchdowns Leader

PM $47.4K · K 530.8K contracts

Will Joe Burrow finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?

Kalshi: Will Joe Burrow lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?

Same question, fine print differs

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Will Jordan Love finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?

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Kalshi: Will Kirk Cousins lead Pro Football in Passing Touchdowns for the 2026-2027 Regular Season?

Same question, fine print differs

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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

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Will Trent Williams be selected to the Pro Football All-Pro First-Team Offense in the 2026-27 season?Yes 52.5%
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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

21

Same-question pairs

44

Largest saved gap: 13.5 percentage points.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.