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Colorado vs San Francisco: Home Runs

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Colorado vs San Francisco: Home Runs

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Polymarket

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34 markets tracked

Hunter Goodman: 1+ home runs?

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Single-Platform Markets(34)

Market	Platform	Price
Hunter Goodman: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	20%
Rafael Devers: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	18%
Bryce Eldridge: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	15%
Willy Adames: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	15%
Heliot Ramos: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	15%
Casey Schmitt: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	15%
Victor Bericoto: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	11%
Cole Carrigg: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	11%
Kyle Karros: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	10%
Willi Castro: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	10%
Drew Cavanaugh: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	9%
Ezequiel Tovar: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	9%
Braxton Fulford: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	9%
Tyler Freeman: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	8%
T.J. Rumfield: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
Drew Gilbert: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
Jake McCarthy: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	6%
Luis Arraez: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Willy Adames: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Hunter Goodman: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Heliot Ramos: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Casey Schmitt: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Bryce Eldridge: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Rafael Devers: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Willi Castro: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Victor Bericoto: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Tyler Freeman: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
T.J. Rumfield: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Kyle Karros: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Jake McCarthy: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Ezequiel Tovar: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Drew Cavanaugh: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Cole Carrigg: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Braxton Fulford: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%

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COL vs SF (Jul 9) If Willy Adames records X home runs in Colorado vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Willy Adames is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Willy Adames starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Willy Adames is

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Colorado vs San Francisco: Home Runs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** COL vs SF (Jul 9)

If Willy Adames records X home runs in Colorado vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Willy Adames is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Willy Adames starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Willy Adames is 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Willy Adames records 2+ home runs in Colorado vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Willy Adames is scratched or not included in the starting "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Willy Adames: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Willy Adames: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Willi Castro: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Willi Castro: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Victor Bericoto: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Victor Bericoto: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Tyler Freeman: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Tyler Freeman: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. T.J. Rumfield: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. T.J. Rumfield: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Luis Arraez: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Kyle Karros: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Kyle Karros: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Jake McCarthy: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Jake McCarthy: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Hunter Goodman: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Hunter Goodman: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Heliot Ramos: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Heliot Ramos: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Ezequiel Tovar: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Ezequiel Tovar: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Drew Gilbert: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Drew Cavanaugh: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Drew Cavanaugh: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Cole Carrigg: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Cole Carrigg: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Casey Schmitt: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Casey Schmitt: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Bryce Eldridge: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Bryce Eldridge: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Braxton Fulford: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Braxton Fulford: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Rafael Devers: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Rafael Devers: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 13, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Colorado vs San Francisco: Home Runs

Volume$0.00

Markets34

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KALSHI

Hunter Goodman: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Hunter Goodman: 1+ home runs?

If Hunter Goodman records 1+ home runs in Colorado vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Hunter Goodman is scratched or not included in the start

KALSHI

Rafael Devers: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.0¢No 82.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Rafael Devers: 1+ home runs?

If Rafael Devers records 1+ home runs in Colorado vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Rafael Devers is scratched or not included in the startin

KALSHI

Bryce Eldridge: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Bryce Eldridge: 1+ home runs?

If Bryce Eldridge records 1+ home runs in Colorado vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Bryce Eldridge is scratched or not included in the start

KALSHI

Willy Adames: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Willy Adames: 1+ home runs?

If Willy Adames records 1+ home runs in Colorado vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Willy Adames is scratched or not included in the starting

KALSHI

Heliot Ramos: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.5¢No 85.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Heliot Ramos: 1+ home runs?

If Heliot Ramos records 1+ home runs in Colorado vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Heliot Ramos is scratched or not included in the starting

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/cwgDOQ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Colorado vs San Francisco: Home Runs"></iframe>

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Colorado vs San Francisco: Home Runs

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Hunter Goodman: 1+ home runs?

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Events (1)

Colorado vs San Francisco: Home Runs

Markets (34)

Hunter Goodman: 1+ home runs?

Hunter Goodman: 1+ home runs?

Rafael Devers: 1+ home runs?

Rafael Devers: 1+ home runs?

Bryce Eldridge: 1+ home runs?

Bryce Eldridge: 1+ home runs?

Willy Adames: 1+ home runs?

Willy Adames: 1+ home runs?

Heliot Ramos: 1+ home runs?

Heliot Ramos: 1+ home runs?

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Hunter Goodman: 1+ home runs?

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Colorado vs San Francisco: Home Runs

Hunter Goodman: 1+ home runs?

Hunter Goodman: 1+ home runs?

Rafael Devers: 1+ home runs?

Rafael Devers: 1+ home runs?

Bryce Eldridge: 1+ home runs?

Bryce Eldridge: 1+ home runs?

Willy Adames: 1+ home runs?

Willy Adames: 1+ home runs?

Heliot Ramos: 1+ home runs?

Heliot Ramos: 1+ home runs?

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