$20.55K
1
9
$20.55K
1
9
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
More markets for the Scottish Cup game, scheduled for March 1 at 7:00 AM ET.
Prediction markets give Rangers FC and Celtic FC a roughly 5 in 6 chance that their Scottish Cup match will see over 1.5 total goals scored. This means traders collectively believe it is very likely at least two goals will be scored by both teams combined. With 83% probability, the market expresses high confidence that this will not be a low-scoring, defensive game.
Two main factors explain these odds. First, this is the "Old Firm" derby, one of soccer's most intense rivalries. Matches are historically open and aggressive, rarely ending 0-0. In their last five meetings across all competitions, every game featured at least two total goals. Second, both teams are in strong attacking form this season. Rangers and Celtic dominate the Scottish Premiership by outscoring every other team, and their games often involve early pressure and chances. The cup setting adds pressure, making a cautious, defensive approach from either side unlikely.
The key event is the match itself, scheduled for March 1 at 7:00 AM ET. Any last-minute news about player injuries or lineup changes released on February 29 could shift the odds. A key defender being ruled out might increase the probability of goals. Once the game begins, watch for an early goal. If the score remains 0-0 past halftime, the live probability for "Over 1.5 Goals" would likely drop significantly.
For major soccer matches like this, prediction markets have a solid record. They effectively aggregate many opinions about team form, history, and tactics. However, they are not perfect. A single red card or an unusually disciplined defensive performance could defy the high odds. The 83% probability still leaves room for the less likely "Under 1.5" outcome, which happens in roughly 1 of every 6 similar forecasts.
The Polymarket for the Rangers vs. Celtic Scottish Cup match shows a high-confidence prediction on the total goals. The "Over 1.5 Goals" contract trades at 83 cents, implying an 83% probability that the match will see two or more goals. This price indicates the market views a low-scoring game with one or zero goals as a significant 17% outlier. With only $21,000 in total volume spread thinly across nine markets, liquidity is limited, which can exaggerate price movements.
The high probability for over 1.5 goals is rooted in the fixture's historical nature. The Old Firm derby is one of football's most intense rivalries, known for high tempo and frequent scoring. In the last ten competitive meetings between Rangers and Celtic, nine have finished with two or more goals. The attacking quality of both sides, with Celtic's league-leading offense and Rangers' form under Philippe Clement, supports this trend. Markets are pricing based on this consistent pattern rather than a specific tactical forecast for this cup tie.
While the historical trend is strong, the specific stakes of a cup match could shift dynamics. A cautious, tactical battle, especially if the score is level late in the game, increases the chance of a 1-0 or 1-1 finish that would resolve "No" for this market. A key moment like an early red card could also drastically lower scoring probability. With resolution imminent, no new information will change these odds; the market has locked in its verdict based on the pre-match consensus.
This event is trading exclusively on Polymarket. The thin liquidity across multiple related markets, such as correct score and winner predictions, suggests most trader interest is consolidated in this high-probability over/under market. The lack of a comparable market on Kalshi eliminates arbitrage opportunities and means this 83% price is the sole aggregated prediction for this specific outcome.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic focuses on additional betting markets for the Scottish Cup quarterfinal match between Rangers FC and Celtic FC, scheduled for March 1, 2025, at 7:00 AM Eastern Time. The match is a knockout fixture in Scotland's premier domestic cup competition, with the winner advancing to the semifinals at Hampden Park. Beyond the standard match outcome market, 'more markets' typically includes proposition bets on specific events within the game, such as the exact score, which team will score first, the total number of goals, whether both teams will score, and individual player performance metrics like who will score at any time. These granular markets allow for more nuanced predictions than simply picking a winner or loser. The interest in these markets is exceptionally high because this fixture, known as the Old Firm derby, is one of the most intense and historic rivalries in world football. The Scottish Cup represents a direct route to silverware and a potential domestic double for either club, adding significant stakes beyond local bragging rights. Recent form, team news regarding injuries, and tactical approaches from both managers directly influence the probabilities in these specialized markets, making them a focal point for analytical bettors and fans. The early morning ET kickoff time also creates a unique global betting window, attracting international attention.
The rivalry between Rangers and Celtic, founded in 1888, is rooted in more than football, reflecting historical religious, social, and political divisions in Glasgow and Scotland. Their meetings in the Scottish Cup have produced some of the competition's most memorable moments. Celtic currently holds the record for most Scottish Cup wins with 41, while Rangers have 34. Their first Scottish Cup meeting was in the 1894 semifinal, a 3-1 win for Rangers. The cup has often been a decisive battleground in seasons where the league title is also contested. In the modern era, the 2002 Scottish Cup Final is iconic, with a 3-2 victory for Rangers that completed a domestic treble. More recently, Celtic defeated Rangers 1-0 in the 2023 Scottish League Cup final, a match that demonstrated how a single goal in a derby cup final can define a season. The knockout nature of the cup eliminates the safety net of league points, heightening the pressure and unpredictability compared to their regular Premiership fixtures. Historically, matches at Hampden Park for cup semifinals or finals add another layer of neutrality and occasion, though this quarterfinal will be played at one of the club's home grounds, maintaining the traditional home/away dynamic.
The financial implications of progressing in the Scottish Cup are substantial for both clubs. Each round offers increased prize money from the Scottish FA, and reaching the final guarantees significant matchday revenue from Hampden Park's 52,000 capacity. For the clubs, winning the cup is also a direct gateway to the UEFA Europa League playoff round, offering a multi-million pound European windfall that can impact summer transfer budgets. Beyond economics, the result has profound social impact. The outcome dictates the narrative in Glasgow for weeks, influencing everything from local business moods to media coverage. A victory can galvanize a team's entire season, providing momentum for a league title run, while a defeat can trigger intense scrutiny on managers and players. For prediction markets and the broader sports betting industry, an Old Firm cup tie is a major event that drives high trading volume globally, testing the accuracy of odds-making models on a high-profile stage.
The match is confirmed for Saturday, March 1, 2025, at Ibrox Stadium in Glasgow, with a 12:00 PM GMT (7:00 AM ET) kickoff. The draw for the semifinals will be held after this match concludes. Both teams are expected to have full squads available barring any injuries in the league matches immediately preceding this cup tie. Rangers will be the designated home team. As of late February 2025, the specific betting markets for this game are being framed by bookmakers and prediction market platforms, incorporating the latest team news, tactical previews, and historical derby data.
The match kicks off at 7:00 AM Eastern Time on Saturday, March 1, 2025. This is a direct conversion from the 12:00 PM GMT start time in Scotland.
The match will be played at Ibrox Stadium in Glasgow, the home ground of Rangers FC. Rangers were drawn as the home team for this quarterfinal fixture.
It is a market where you predict whether both Rangers and Celtic will score at least one goal each during the match. The bet wins if both teams score, regardless of the final match outcome.
For the 2024-25 season, Scottish Cup matches are typically broadcast in the United States on Paramount+ through their coverage of the Scottish Professional Football League.
The last Scottish Cup meeting was the 2022 semifinal at Hampden Park, which Rangers won 2-1 after extra time. They then went on to win the final against Hearts.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
9 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 83% |
| Poly | 63% |
| Poly | 60% |
| Poly | 37% |
| Poly | 24% |
| Poly | 19% |
| Poly | 13% |
| Poly | 11% |
| Poly | 4% |
No related news found
Add this market to your website
<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/d0oVVD" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Rangers FC vs. Celtic FC - More Markets"></iframe>