Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions: Spread

Total Volume

$17.53

Events

Markets

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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions: Spread

Vol

$17.53

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $17.53

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $17.53

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 1.5 runs?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 1.5 runs?	Kalshi	32%
Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 1.5 runs?	Kalshi	30%
Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 2.5 runs?	Kalshi	21%
Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 2.5 runs?	Kalshi	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

32%

Top Probability

$17.53

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

HOK vs SAI (Oct 12) If the Saitama Seibu Lions win by more than X runs in the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declar

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** HOK vs SAI (Oct 12)

If the Saitama Seibu Lions win by more than X runs in the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declar

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Saitama Seibu Lions win by more than 2.5 runs in the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $18
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 2.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 1.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 2.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 1.5 runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions: Spread

Volume$17.53

Markets4

4 of 4

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 1.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 1.5 runs?

If the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by more than 1.5 runs in the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed b

KALSHI

Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 1.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 1.5 runs?

If the Saitama Seibu Lions win by more than 1.5 runs in the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in

KALSHI

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 2.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 2.5 runs?

If the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by more than 2.5 runs in the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed b

KALSHI

Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 2.5 runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 2.5 runs?

If the Saitama Seibu Lions win by more than 2.5 runs in the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in

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Average Yes Price

26¢

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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions: Spread

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Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 1.5 runs?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions: Spread

Markets (4)

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 1.5 runs?

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 1.5 runs?

Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 1.5 runs?

Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 1.5 runs?

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 2.5 runs?

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 2.5 runs?

Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 2.5 runs?

Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 2.5 runs?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 1.5 runs?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Saitama Seibu Lions: Spread

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 1.5 runs?

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 1.5 runs?

Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 1.5 runs?

Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 1.5 runs?

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 2.5 runs?

Will the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by over 2.5 runs?

Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 2.5 runs?

Will the Saitama Seibu Lions win by over 2.5 runs?

Related News & Context

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