Name: UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)
End: 2026-03-29T03:59:59.999Z

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UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims) | PredictPedia

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9 markets tracked

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	88%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	67%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	49%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	47%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	46%
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)	Poly	43%
Will Yousri Belgaroui win by KO or TKO?	Poly	33%
Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?	Poly	31%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	23%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yousri Belgaroui" if Yousri Belgaroui is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mansur Abdul-Malik at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mansur Abdul-Malik" if Mansur Abdul-Malik is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yousri Belgaroui" if Yousri Belgaroui is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mansur Abdul-Malik at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mansur Abdul-Malik" if Mansur Abdul-Malik is officially declared the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $329.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $210.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.57)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $327.3K
  DATA: [Yousri Belgaroui: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [Mansur Abdul-Malik: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $106
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Yousri Belgaroui win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $324
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $596
  DATA: [Over: 88.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 12.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $451
  DATA: [Over: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 29, 2026): Vol $623
  DATA: [Over: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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47¢

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UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)

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Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)

Markets (9)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will Yousri Belgaroui win by KO or TKO?

Will Yousri Belgaroui win by KO or TKO?

Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?

Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will Yousri Belgaroui win by KO or TKO?

Will Yousri Belgaroui win by KO or TKO?

Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?

Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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