Next Token Sale on Coinbase by ___?
PM $19.9K
1
3
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by ___?
PM $19.9K
1
3
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31, 2026 at 22%.
Polymarket
- December 31, 202622%
- November 30, 202610%
- October 31, 20266.3%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $19.9K
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a qualifying Coinbase token sale request window goes live between the creation of this market and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, a Coinbase token sale request window must be live and actively accepting commitments. Qualifying sales must be hosted directly by Coinbase on coinbase.com/token-sales or any official successor page within the Coinbase app or website. Sales run on a project's own site via Sonar, Echo, or any Coinbase-powered white-label technology do not qualify, regardless of affiliation. Private sales, airdrops, standard exchange listings, and any sale without a dedicated public request window do not qualify. Sale announcements, previews, and waitlists do not constitute a live request window. A request window that opens and is subsequently cancelled, paused, or suspended still resolves to "Yes" — post-opening outcomes including cancellation, refunds, pauses, or failure to distribute tokens do not affect resolution. If a sale is announced but the request window never opens, or a token is listed directly without a request window, this market resolves to "No". The resolution source is coinbase.com/token-sales, official Coinbase blog posts, or @Coinbase/@CoinbaseMarkets on X, corroborated by credible news sources.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks whether a qualifying Coinbase token sale request window goes live between the market's creation and a specified deadline. A qualifying window must be "live and actively accepting commitments," and it must be hosted directly by Coinbase on coinbase.com/token-sales or an official successor page [1]. Sales run through Sonar, Echo, or other Coinbase-powered white-label technology do not qualify, and neither do private sales, airdrops, standard exchange listings, announcements, previews, or waitlists [1]. A window that opens and is later cancelled, paused, or suspended still resolves "Yes" [1].
Three contracts are included, each with a different deadline: October 31, November 30, and December 31, 2026 [1]. The rules use the phrase "by," so each contract tests the same kind of event against a different cutoff.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z, and it was retrieved at 2026-10-20T06:42:59.294Z [1]. It describes prices at that observation time only, not current prices.
The quoted Yes prices are 0.044 for October 31, 0.13 for November 30, and 0.16 for December 31 [1]. Each contract's No price is the complement of its Yes price in the snapshot. These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, and it is not marked as partial [1]. The source notes that this does not establish that the providers list every possible outcome, but no omitted outcomes are indicated for this event.
The listed close times differ by contract. The October contract ends at 2026-11-01T03:59:00Z, the November contract at 2026-12-01T04:59:00Z, and the December contract's market end date is 2027-01-01T05:00:00Z, while the event's listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00Z [1]. The rules state deadlines in Eastern Time at 11:59 PM [1]. A reader should compare the rule wording and the listed close time for each contract rather than assume they match.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price changed or what drove the snapshot. It does not show trader counts, recent news, or whether any sale has been announced beyond the rule text. Volume is not included in this comparison and should not be read as liquidity. The Yes prices should not be combined or averaged across the three deadlines, and differences between them should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity without executable pricing and verified resolution.
References
- Polymarket: Next Token Sale on Coinbase by ___?. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 20, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia contract asks whether Coinbase will host a qualifying token sale with a live request window before a set deadline. The rules are published by Polymarket, and they define what counts as a qualifying sale in narrow terms [1]. A market resolves to "Yes" only if a qualifying Coinbase token sale request window goes live between the creation of the market and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise it resolves to "No" [1]. The rules place weight on the request window rather than on the announcement. To qualify, a request window must be live and actively accepting commitments. Sale announcements, previews, and waitlists do not count as a live request window [1]. The sale also has to be hosted directly by Coinbase on coinbase.com/token-sales or an official successor page within the Coinbase app or website [1]. Sales run on a project's own site through Sonar, Echo, or any Coinbase-powered white-label technology do not qualify, regardless of affiliation [1]. Private sales, airdrops, standard exchange listings, and any sale without a dedicated public request window also do not qualify [1]. The rules also address outcomes after a window opens. A request window that opens and is later cancelled, paused, or suspended still resolves to "Yes". Cancellations, refunds, pauses, and failure to distribute tokens do not affect resolution [1]. By contrast, if a sale is announced but the window never opens, or a token is listed directly without a request window, the market resolves to "No" [1]. The contract names its resolution sources as coinbase.com/token-sales, official Coinbase blog posts, and the @Coinbase and @CoinbaseMarkets accounts on X, corroborated by credible news sources [1]. The saved event contains three markets that share the same rules but use different deadlines: October 31, 2026, November 30, 2026, and December 31, 2026 [1]. Their listed end times are 2026-11-01T03:59:00Z, 2026-12-01T04:59:00Z, and 2027-01-01T04:59:00Z respectively. Each market asks the same question for a different window of time, so the later markets cover a longer period. The contract's own text is the reference for these dates. A date in the rules sets the deadline and does not indicate that any sale has been scheduled.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow event: whether Coinbase opens a public request window for a token sale on its own platform before a stated deadline [1]. Because the rules exclude sales run through third-party or white-label technology, private sales, airdrops, and standard exchange listings, the contract is not a general measure of new token listings or of Coinbase's activity in crypto [1]. Its value to a reader lies in understanding the exact conditions that determine resolution. A sale that is announced but never opens a live window resolves to "No", while a window that opens and is later cancelled still resolves to "Yes" [1]. Prices shown alongside the contract are market snapshots and not verified probabilities of the event occurring.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-20 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for the market to resolve to Yes?
A qualifying Coinbase token sale request window must go live between the creation of the market and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. The window must be actively accepting commitments [1].
Does a sale announcement count?
No. Sale announcements, previews, and waitlists do not constitute a live request window [1].
Do sales run through Sonar or Echo qualify?
No. Sales run on a project's own site via Sonar, Echo, or any Coinbase-powered white-label technology do not qualify, regardless of affiliation [1].
What happens if a window opens and is later cancelled?
The market still resolves to Yes. Cancellation, pauses, suspension, refunds, or failure to distribute tokens do not affect resolution once a window has opened [1].
Does a direct token listing on Coinbase count?
No. If a token is listed directly without a request window, the market resolves to No. Standard exchange listings are also excluded [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
What will Nebius say during their next earnings call?
K 1.3K contracts
What will Webull say during their next earnings call?
K 732.25 contracts
How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?
PM $331.8K
Who will launch a token this year?
PM $21.01M · K 93.8K contractsWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Exponent launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Kalshi: Will Arc launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?
Related contracts
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Kalshi: Will Ostium launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?
Same question, fine print differs
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
K 63.4K contracts
What will Palantir say during their next earnings call?
K 17.1K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
