GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	57%
Will Yashar be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	57%
Will Blue and White be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	54%
Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	48%
Will The Democrats be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	48%
Will United Torah Judaism be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	47%
Will Likud be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	43%
Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	42%
Will Shas be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	39%
Will Otzma Yehudit be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	34%
Will Noam be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	32%
Will Hadash–Ta’al be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	28%
Will Foundations of Israel be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	23%
Will Ra’am be a part of the next government in Israel?	Kalshi	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2028 If a coalition that includes X make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position, including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable, in the new government. This evaluation shall occu

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, July 21, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2028

If a coalition that includes X make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position, including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable, in the new government. This evaluation shall occu

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If a coalition that includes Yisrael Beiteinu make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.

A party is considered to be part of government if o"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yashar be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will United Torah Judaism be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Shas be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Religious Zionist Party be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Foundations of Israel be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ra’am be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Otzma Yehudit be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Noam be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Likud be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Hadash–Ta’al be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will The Democrats be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Blue and White be a part of the next government in Israel?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Volume$0.00

Markets14

14 of 14

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?

If a coalition that includes Yisrael Beiteinu make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if o

KALSHI

Will Yashar be a part of the next government in Israel?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Yashar be a part of the next government in Israel?

If a coalition that includes Yashar make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more

KALSHI

Will Blue and White be a part of the next government in Israel?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Blue and White be a part of the next government in Israel?

If a coalition that includes Blue and White make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one

KALSHI

Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢

KALSHICrypto

Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?

If a coalition that includes Together make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or mo

KALSHI

Will The Democrats be a part of the next government in Israel?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will The Democrats be a part of the next government in Israel?

If a coalition that includes The Democrats make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

41¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Q9RxBE" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Markets (14)

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Yashar be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Yashar be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Blue and White be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Blue and White be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will The Democrats be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will The Democrats be a part of the next government in Israel?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Yisrael Beiteinu be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Yashar be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Yashar be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Blue and White be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Blue and White be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will Together be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will The Democrats be a part of the next government in Israel?

Will The Democrats be a part of the next government in Israel?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget