Name: Ecuador vs. Curaçao
End: 2026-06-21T00:00:00.000Z

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Ecuador vs. Curaçao | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Poly	56%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Poly	33%
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Poly	28%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ecuador vs. Curaçao
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 21, 2026 (66 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, June 20, 2026 between Ecuador and Curaçao.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 20, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up ga"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $22
* **Total Liquidity:** $578
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 21, 2026): Vol $22
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

65d 13h remaining

Jun 21, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

39¢

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Ecuador vs. Curaçao

Ecuador vs. Curaçao

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Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Ecuador vs. Curaçao

Markets (3)

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

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Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

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Ecuador vs. Curaçao

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

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Discussion

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