Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador): Teams relegated (2026)

Name: LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador): Teams relegated (2026)
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.22K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador): Teams relegated (2026)

Vol

$3.22K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.22K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.22K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Will Manta be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Manta be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	86%
Will Delfín be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	52%
Will Técnico Universitario be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	26%
Will Mushuc Runa be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	13%
Will Orense be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	12%
Will Deportivo Cuenca be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	4%
Will Macará be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	3%
Will Independiente del Valle be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	3%
Will Leones be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	3%
Will Libertad be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	3%
Will Universidad Católica be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	3%
Will Aucas be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	2%
Will Emelec be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	2%
Will LDU Quito be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	2%
Will Guayaquil City be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	2%
Will Barcelona SC be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

86%

Top Probability

$3.22K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) at the conclusion of the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador): Teams relegated (2026)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) at the conclusion of the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador).


**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) at the conclusion of the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) for th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.1K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.89)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aucas be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Barcelona SC be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $124
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Delfín be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Deportivo Cuenca be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $42
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Emelec be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $197
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Guayaquil City be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $409
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Independiente del Valle be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will LDU Quito be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Leones be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Libertad be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Macará be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $64
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.2% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Manta be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Mushuc Runa be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $41
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Orense be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Técnico Universitario be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Universidad Católica be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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