Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Name: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina
End: 2026-10-19T02:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$25.91K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Vol

$25.91K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $25.91K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.91K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina	Poly	87%
Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina	Poly	79%
Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina	Poly	67%
Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	66%
Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Dalibor Svrcina (+1.5)	Poly	66%
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina	Poly	53%
Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-5.5) vs Dalibor Svrcina (+5.5)	Poly	50%
Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	49%
Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	49%
Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	49%
Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	45%
Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	42%
Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	38%
Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	35%
Daniil Medvedev vs. Dalibor Svrcina: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	28%
Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

87%

Top Probability

$25.91K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Dalibor Svrcina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Dalibor Svrcina. This market will resolve to 'Dalibor Svrcina' if Dalibor Svrcina advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM E

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Dalibor Svrcina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Dalibor Svrcina.

This market will resolve to 'Dalibor Svrcina' if Dalibor Svrcina advances against Daniil Medvedev.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM E

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Dalibor Svrcina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Dalibor Svrcina.

This market will resolve to "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $233.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $16.0K
  DATA: [Daniil Medvedev: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [Dalibor Svrcina: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Daniil Medvedev: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [Dalibor Svrcina: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Daniil Medvedev: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [Dalibor Svrcina: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Daniil Medvedev vs. Dalibor Svrcina: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Over: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Set 2 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Set 2 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Set 2 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $537
  DATA: [Over: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Medvedev vs. Svrcina: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Dalibor Svrcina (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9.3K
  DATA: [Daniil Medvedev: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [Dalibor Svrcina: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-5.5) vs Dalibor Svrcina (+5.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Daniil Medvedev: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Dalibor Svrcina: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Volume$25.91K

Markets16

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POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

POLYMARKET

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

POLYMARKET

Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

POLYMARKET

Daniil Medvedev vs. Dalibor Svrcina: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Daniil Medvedev vs. Dalibor Svrcina: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Dalibor Svrcina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3,

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Oct 19, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

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51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/d9CQn0" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina"></iframe>

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

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Events (1)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Markets (16)

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Daniil Medvedev vs. Dalibor Svrcina: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Daniil Medvedev vs. Dalibor Svrcina: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Completed Match: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Daniil Medvedev vs. Dalibor Svrcina: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

Daniil Medvedev vs. Dalibor Svrcina: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5

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