GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner

Name: New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner
End: 2026-09-08T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$12.41K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner

Vol

$12.41K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $12.41K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.41K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?	Poly	99%
Will Corey Lewandowski win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$12.41K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 8, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernator"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $20.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.60)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 8, 2026): Vol $8.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.6% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Corey Lewandowski win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 8, 2026): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics