Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

September Inflation UK - Annual

Name: September Inflation UK - Annual
End: 2026-10-21T11:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$22.39K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

September Inflation UK - Annual

Vol

$22.39K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $22.39K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $22.39K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?	Poly	48%
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?	Poly	25%
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in September?	Poly	14%
Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in September?	Poly	7%
Will UK annual inflation be at least 4.0% in September?	Poly	3%
Will UK annual inflation be 2.7% or less in September?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$22.39K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** September Inflation UK - Annual
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 21, 2026 (10 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Office for National Statistics (ONS) report.

The resolution source for this market will be the ONS “Consumer Prices Index, UK” report released for September 2026 (https://www.ons.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about inflation in the United Kingdom over the 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the UK Office for National Statistics.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 accor"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $22.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.52)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will UK annual inflation be 2.7% or less in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will UK annual inflation be between 2.8% and 3% in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will UK annual inflation be between 3.1% and 3.3% in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $5.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will UK annual inflation be at least 4.0% in September?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $646
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports