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GroupPOLYMARKET
Flyers vs. Wild
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Polymarket
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Kalshi
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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 12 at 8:00PM ET: If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns the outcome of a National Hockey League regular season game between the Philadelphia Flyers and the Minnesota Wild, scheduled for March 12 at 8:00 PM Eastern Time. The market will resolve based on the official game result, including overtime and shootouts, with a shootout winner receiving an additional goal in the final score for market settlement purposes. The Flyers and Wild are both members of the NHL's Eastern and Western Conferences respectively, making this an inter-conference matchup. These games occur twice per season under the NHL's current scheduling format, adding weight to each meeting as they represent a limited opportunity for teams to secure points against opponents outside their usual conference rivals. Interest in this specific game stems from both teams' positions in the 2023-24 season playoff race. As of early March, the Flyers were unexpectedly contending for a playoff spot in the Metropolitan Division, while the Wild were fighting to stay in contention in the Central Division. The game's outcome could directly impact the standings and postseason chances for both clubs. Prediction markets allow participants to trade shares based on their assessment of each team's likelihood to win, incorporating factors like recent performance, injuries, and home-ice advantage.
The Flyers and Wild have a limited history as inter-conference opponents, first meeting in the 2000-01 season after Minnesota entered the league as an expansion team. The all-time series is relatively close, with Minnesota holding a slight edge. One notable game occurred on February 16, 2022, when the Wild defeated the Flyers 5-4 in a game that featured a combined nine third-period goals. The most significant historical connection between the franchises involves the 2012 NHL Entry Draft. The Flyers traded their two second-round picks to the Minnesota Wild to move up and select Anthony Stolarz 45th overall. The Wild used one of those acquired picks, 46th overall, to select Raphael Bussieres, who never played an NHL game. The trade is often cited as an example of draft-day maneuvering with mixed long-term results. From a broader league perspective, both teams have experienced extended periods without winning the Stanley Cup. The Flyers' last championship was in 1975, while the Wild, founded in 2000, have never won. This shared history of championship drought adds a layer of perennial urgency for both fan bases during playoff pushes.
For the teams and their fans, the game matters for its direct impact on the NHL standings. Each win is worth two points in the league's competitive balance system. In a tightly contested playoff race, a single regulation win or loss can shift a team's probability of making the postseason by a significant percentage. For the Flyers, a win reinforces their surprising status as a contender and builds confidence in a rebuilding plan that many analysts expected to take longer. For the Wild, securing points is essential to staying in the Western Conference wild card hunt and justifying their roster construction, which includes several large, long-term contracts. Beyond the ice, the game has economic implications for local businesses in Philadelphia and Saint Paul, with ticket sales, merchandise, and viewership driving revenue. For prediction market participants, the game represents an opportunity to apply analytical models, assess team strength, and potentially profit from accurately forecasting the result. The market itself functions as a collective intelligence gauge, with the trading price reflecting the consensus probability of each outcome.
In the week leading up to the March 12 game, both teams are navigating the final stretch of the regular season. The Flyers are coming off a series of games against Metropolitan Division rivals, which heavily influence their playoff positioning. The Wild recently completed a road trip through Western Canada. The health of key players will be monitored closely. For Philadelphia, the status of top defenseman Travis Sanheim, who missed a game in early March, is a point of focus. For Minnesota, the performance of goaltender Filip Gustavsson, who has struggled at times this season after a stellar 2022-23 campaign, could determine who starts in net. Both teams held practices on March 11, where line combinations and defensive pairings offered clues about coaching strategies for the matchup.
The game is scheduled to be played at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. This gives the Philadelphia Flyers home-ice advantage for the contest.
National broadcast information for NHL games is typically confirmed a few days in advance. For this inter-conference game, viewers should check ESPN+, NHL Network, or the regional sports networks for each team, NBC Sports Philadelphia and Bally Sports North, for final broadcast details.
Sportsbooks release betting odds closer to game day. The favorite is determined by factors like each team's recent form, home-ice advantage, and starting goaltenders. The prediction market price on platforms like PredictIt will also reflect the real-time consensus probability of each team winning.
If the game is tied after three periods, a five-minute, three-on-three overtime period is played. If no goal is scored, a shootout follows. For this prediction market, the winner is the team that wins the game officially, with a shootout winner credited with one additional goal in the final score for market resolution.
Yes, as part of the NHL's inter-conference schedule, these teams play twice per season. They previously met in Minnesota on November 9, 2023, a game the Wild won 4-3 in overtime. The March 12 game is the second and final regular season meeting of the 2023-24 campaign.
The market resolves based on the official game winner. The description specifies that 'in the event of a shootout, one goal will be added' to the winner's score for the purpose of market settlement. This means a team winning 2-1 in a shootout would be recorded as a 3-1 win for the market's result.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
6 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 61% |
| Poly | 53% |
| Poly | 53% |
| Poly | 53% |
| Poly | 49% |
| Poly | 40% |
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