GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

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Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

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11 markets tracked

Will Yale drop in national university rankings?

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Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Yale drop in national university rankings?	Kalshi	57%
Will Columbia drop in national university rankings?	Kalshi	45%
Will UCLA drop in national university rankings?	Kalshi	40%
Will Notre Dame drop in national university rankings?	Kalshi	38%
Will Harvard drop in national university rankings?	Kalshi	36%
Will Stanford drop in national university rankings?	Kalshi	35%
Will Caltech drop in national university rankings?	Kalshi	35%
Will University of Texas at Austin drop in national university rankings?	Kalshi	26%
Will Princeton drop in national university rankings?	Kalshi	23%
Will MIT drop in national university rankings?	Kalshi	23%
Will Georgia Tech drop in national university rankings?	Kalshi	21%

AI Analysis

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57%

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$0.00

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About This Event

In 2027 If X has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes. Resolution is based solely on the numerical rank assigned X — moving from an unshared rank to a tied rank at the same number does not constitute a drop. Y is no longer listed in the rankings, the market resolves to Yes. If the rank is unchanged, the market resolves to No. This market will close and expire ea

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2027

If X has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes. Resolution is based solely on the numerical rank assigned X — moving from an unshared rank to a tied rank at the same number does not constitute a drop. Y is no longer listed in the rankings, the market resolves to Yes. If the rank is unchanged, the market resolves to No. This market will close and expire ea

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yale has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution is based solely on the numerical rank assigned to Yale — moving from an unshared rank t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yale drop in national university rankings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will University of Texas at Austin drop in national university rankings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will UCLA drop in national university rankings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Stanford drop in national university rankings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Princeton drop in national university rankings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Notre Dame drop in national university rankings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will MIT drop in national university rankings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Harvard drop in national university rankings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Georgia Tech drop in national university rankings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Columbia drop in national university rankings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Caltech drop in national university rankings?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

Volume$0.00

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will Yale drop in national university rankings?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Yale drop in national university rankings?

If Yale has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution is based solely on the numerical rank assigned to Yale — moving from an unshared rank t

KALSHI

Will Columbia drop in national university rankings?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 45.0¢No 55.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Columbia drop in national university rankings?

If Columbia has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution is based solely on the numerical rank assigned to Columbia — moving from an unshare

KALSHI

Will UCLA drop in national university rankings?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will UCLA drop in national university rankings?

If UCLA has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution is based solely on the numerical rank assigned to UCLA — moving from an unshared rank t

KALSHI

Will Notre Dame drop in national university rankings?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Notre Dame drop in national university rankings?

If Notre Dame has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution is based solely on the numerical rank assigned to Notre Dame — moving from an uns

KALSHI

Will Harvard drop in national university rankings?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will Harvard drop in national university rankings?

If Harvard has a lower ranking in the first U.S. News & World Report Best National University Rankings released after Issuance than its ranking as of Issuance, the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution is based solely on the numerical rank assigned to Harvard — moving from an unshared

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Will Yale drop in national university rankings?

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Events (1)

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

Markets (11)

Will Yale drop in national university rankings?

Will Yale drop in national university rankings?

Will Columbia drop in national university rankings?

Will Columbia drop in national university rankings?

Will UCLA drop in national university rankings?

Will UCLA drop in national university rankings?

Will Notre Dame drop in national university rankings?

Will Notre Dame drop in national university rankings?

Will Harvard drop in national university rankings?

Will Harvard drop in national university rankings?

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Will Yale drop in national university rankings?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?

Will Yale drop in national university rankings?

Will Yale drop in national university rankings?

Will Columbia drop in national university rankings?

Will Columbia drop in national university rankings?

Will UCLA drop in national university rankings?

Will UCLA drop in national university rankings?

Will Notre Dame drop in national university rankings?

Will Notre Dame drop in national university rankings?

Will Harvard drop in national university rankings?

Will Harvard drop in national university rankings?

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