Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Total Games

Total Volume

$141.10

Events

Markets

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Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Total Games

Vol

$141.10

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $141.10

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $141.10

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Over 19.5 games

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Over 19.5 games	Kalshi	73%
Over 24.5 games	Kalshi	45%
Over 29.5 games	Kalshi	22%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$141.10

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud (Oct 12) If the number of completed games in the full match is above X in the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all be

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Total Games
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud (Oct 12)

If the number of completed games in the full match is above X in the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all be

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the number of completed games in the full match is above 29.5 in the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis mat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $141
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Over 29.5 games
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Over 24.5 games
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $141
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Over 19.5 games
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Total Games

Volume$141.10

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Over 19.5 games

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.0¢No 27.0¢

KALSHISports

Over 19.5 games

If the number of completed games in the full match is above 19.5 in the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis mat

KALSHI

Over 24.5 games

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHISports

Over 24.5 games

If the number of completed games in the full match is above 24.5 in the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis mat

KALSHI

Over 29.5 games

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

KALSHISports

Over 29.5 games

If the number of completed games in the full match is above 29.5 in the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud professional tennis mat

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Average Yes Price

47¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/dlq0s4" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Total Games"></iframe>

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Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Total Games

Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Total Games

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Over 19.5 games

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Events (1)

Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Total Games

Markets (3)

Over 19.5 games

Over 19.5 games

Over 24.5 games

Over 24.5 games

Over 29.5 games

Over 29.5 games

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Over 19.5 games

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Learner Tien vs Casper Ruud: Total Games

Over 19.5 games

Over 19.5 games

Over 24.5 games

Over 24.5 games

Over 29.5 games

Over 29.5 games

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