GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Braunschweig Mayoral Election Winner

Name: Braunschweig Mayoral Election Winner
End: 2026-09-13T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$16.84K

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Markets

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Braunschweig Mayoral Election Winner

Vol

$16.84K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $16.84K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $16.84K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Poly	88%
Will Michael Walther win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Poly	6%
Will Maximilian Pohler win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Poly	4%
Will Max Wieland win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Leonie Bartsch win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Ingo Schramm win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Timothy Rathjen win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Poly	0%
Will Robert Glogowski win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$16.84K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The next Braunschweig mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Braunschweig, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Braunschweig). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Braunschweig as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the el

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Braunschweig Mayoral Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 13, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** The next Braunschweig mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Braunschweig, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Braunschweig). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Braunschweig as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the el

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $16.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $47.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.35)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $11.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Maximilian Pohler win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Michael Walther win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $851
  DATA: [Yes: 6.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ingo Schramm win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $508
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Timothy Rathjen win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $403
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Leonie Bartsch win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $653
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Max Wieland win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $618
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Robert Glogowski win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 13, 2026): Vol $590
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics