Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Blue Cross NC 250 Winner

Total Volume

$476.92K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Blue Cross NC 250 Winner

Vol

$476.92K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $476.92K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $476.92K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

38 markets tracked

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(38)

Market	Platform	Price
Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier wins	Kalshi	68%
Auto Parts: Corey Day wins	Kalshi	26%
Auto Parts: Jesse Love wins	Kalshi	18%
Auto Parts: Austin Hill wins	Kalshi	8%
Auto Parts: Taylor Gray wins	Kalshi	3%
Auto Parts: Sheldon Creed wins	Kalshi	2%
Auto Parts: Sam Mayer wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Brent Crews wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Anthony Alfredo wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Derek Lemke wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: William Sawalich wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Sammy Smith wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Ryan Sieg wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Ryan Ellis wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Rajah Caruth wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Patrick Staropoli wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Parker Retzlaff wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Myatt Snider wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Mason Maggio wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Matt DiBenedetto wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Lavar Scott wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Kyle Sieg wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: J.J. Yeley wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Joey Gase wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Josh Bilicki wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Jeremy Clements wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Jeb Burton wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Jake Finch wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Harrison Burton wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Garrett Smithley wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Dean Thompson wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Dawson Cram wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Carson Kvapil wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Carson Brown wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Brennan Poole wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Brandon Jones wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Blaine Perkins wins	Kalshi	1%
Auto Parts: Austin Green wins	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

68%

Top Probability

$476.92K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Blue Cross NC 250 ('26) If X finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 Y 250, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postp

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Blue Cross NC 250 Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Blue Cross NC 250 ('26)

If X finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 Y 250, then the market resolves to Yes. Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not based on provisional results, we appreciate your patience. X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postp

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Derek Lemke finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 NASCAR Blue Cross NC 250, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $476.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Auto Parts: Derek Lemke wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $500
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Auto Parts: William Sawalich wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $15.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Auto Parts: Taylor Gray wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $29.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Auto Parts: Sheldon Creed wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $31.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Auto Parts: Sammy Smith wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $16.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Auto Parts: Sam Mayer wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $39.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Auto Parts: Ryan Sieg wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Auto Parts: Ryan Ellis wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Auto Parts: Rajah Caruth wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $17.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Auto Parts: Patrick Staropoli wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Auto Parts: Parker Retzlaff wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Auto Parts: Myatt Snider wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Auto Parts: Mason Maggio wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Auto Parts: Matt DiBenedetto wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $191
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Auto Parts: Lavar Scott wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Auto Parts: Kyle Sieg wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Auto Parts: J.J. Yeley wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $72.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Auto Parts: Joey Gase wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Auto Parts: Josh Bilicki wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Auto Parts: Jesse Love wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $39.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Auto Parts: Jeremy Clements wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Auto Parts: Jeb Burton wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $493
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Auto Parts: Jake Finch wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $179
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Auto Parts: Harrison Burton wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $805
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Auto Parts: Garrett Smithley wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Auto Parts: Dean Thompson wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $243
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Auto Parts: Dawson Cram wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $94
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Auto Parts: Corey Day wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $61.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Auto Parts: Carson Kvapil wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $46.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Auto Parts: Carson Brown wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Auto Parts: Brennan Poole wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Auto Parts: Brandon Jones wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $20.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Auto Parts: Brent Crews wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $38.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Auto Parts: Blaine Perkins wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $24
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Auto Parts: Austin Hill wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $19.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Auto Parts: Austin Green wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $243
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Auto Parts: Anthony Alfredo wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $16.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Blue Cross NC 250 Winner

Volume$476.92K

Markets38

38 of 38

Sort:

KALSHI

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier wins

If Justin Allgaier finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 Blue Cross NC 250, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations ar

KALSHI

Auto Parts: Corey Day wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Auto Parts: Corey Day wins

If Corey Day finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 Blue Cross NC 250, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not

KALSHI

Auto Parts: Jesse Love wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Auto Parts: Jesse Love wins

If Jesse Love finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 Blue Cross NC 250, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are not

KALSHI

Auto Parts: Austin Hill wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Auto Parts: Austin Hill wins

If Austin Hill finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 Blue Cross NC 250, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are no

KALSHI

Auto Parts: Taylor Gray wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.0¢No 97.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Auto Parts: Taylor Gray wins

If Taylor Gray finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 at the 2026 Blue Cross NC 250, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Important information: NASCAR races will be paid out after the final race results have been posted by NASCAR. Determinations are no

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Average Yes Price

4¢

Kalshi

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Blue Cross NC 250 Winner

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Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Blue Cross NC 250 Winner

Markets (38)

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier wins

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier wins

Auto Parts: Corey Day wins

Auto Parts: Corey Day wins

Auto Parts: Jesse Love wins

Auto Parts: Jesse Love wins

Auto Parts: Austin Hill wins

Auto Parts: Austin Hill wins

Auto Parts: Taylor Gray wins

Auto Parts: Taylor Gray wins

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Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier wins

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Blue Cross NC 250 Winner

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier wins

Auto Parts: Justin Allgaier wins

Auto Parts: Corey Day wins

Auto Parts: Corey Day wins

Auto Parts: Jesse Love wins

Auto Parts: Jesse Love wins

Auto Parts: Austin Hill wins

Auto Parts: Austin Hill wins

Auto Parts: Taylor Gray wins

Auto Parts: Taylor Gray wins

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