Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Pro Football: 2026-27 3,500+ Passing Yards

Name: Pro Football: 2026-27 3,500+ Passing Yards
End: 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$11.93K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Pro Football: 2026-27 3,500+ Passing Yards

Vol

$11.93K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $11.93K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.93K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

25 markets tracked

Will Joe Burrow have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(25)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Joe Burrow have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	88%
Will Brock Purdy have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	87%
Will Matthew Stafford have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	87%
Will Dak Prescott have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	83%
Will Patrick Mahomes have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	72%
Will Jordan Love have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	68%
Will Jared Goff have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	65%
Will Tyler Shough have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	63%
Will Bryce Young have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	61%
Will Josh Allen have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	53%
Will C.J. Stroud have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	52%
Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	51%
Will Sam Darnold have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	47%
Will Bo Nix have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	47%
Will Justin Herbert have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	42%
Will Lamar Jackson have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	36%
Will Drake Maye have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	30%
Will Malik Willis have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	28%
Will Cameron Ward have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	28%
Will Caleb Williams have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	24%
Will Jalen Hurts have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	21%
Will Baker Mayfield have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	14%
Will Fernando Mendoza have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	4%
Will Jayden Daniels have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	4%
Will Jaxson Dart have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

88%

Top Probability

$11.93K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 3,500. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No". If

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pro Football: 2026-27 3,500+ Passing Yards
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 27, 2027 (108 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 3,500. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count.

If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 3,500. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conferenc"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.20)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jared Goff have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $860
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Dak Prescott have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $128
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Joe Burrow have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $534
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Matthew Stafford have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $647
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Brock Purdy have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $646
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Drake Maye have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $625
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trevor Lawrence have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Sam Darnold have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $180
  DATA: [Yes: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Tyler Shough have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $438
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Caleb Williams have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $110
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will C.J. Stroud have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $267
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Justin Herbert have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $667
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Josh Allen have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $180
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Jordan Love have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $596
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Bo Nix have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $252
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Cameron Ward have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Jalen Hurts have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $65
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Jayden Daniels have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $194
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Lamar Jackson have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $371
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Jaxson Dart have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Bryce Young have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Malik Willis have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $141
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Fernando Mendoza have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Patrick Mahomes have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $176
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Baker Mayfield have 3,500+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 27, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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