GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2028?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	67%
Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2027?	Kalshi	62%
Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	56%
Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Apr 1, 2027?	Kalshi	54%
Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	27%
Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

67%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors nomination If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate. This market will close and expire early following an official presidential announcement of a nominee for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors nomination

If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent to the Senate. This market will close and expire early following an official presidential announcement of a nominee for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028. then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Apr 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

Volume$0.00

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2028?

If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028. then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent

KALSHI

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2027?

If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent

KALSHI

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jul 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 56.5¢No 43.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jul 1, 2027?

If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent

KALSHI

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Apr 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Apr 1, 2027?

If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent

KALSHI

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2027?

If any person is nominated to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027. then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Official announcements made by the President of a nomination shall satisfy the Payout Criterion, even if they are not yet sent

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

46¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/dvOR6C" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2028?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

Markets (6)

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2028?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2028?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jul 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jul 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Apr 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Apr 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2027?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2028?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2028?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2028?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Oct 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jul 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jul 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Apr 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Apr 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2027?

Will someone be nominated for a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2027?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget