Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce

Total Volume

$3.38K

Events

Markets

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Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce

Vol

$3.38K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.38K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.38K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Aston Villa wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Aston Villa wins	Kalshi	59%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	23%
Fenerbahce wins	Kalshi	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

59%

Top Probability

$3.38K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

AVL vs FEN (Oct 14) If X wins the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** AVL vs FEN (Oct 14)

If X wins the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the A"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $88
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fenerbahce wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Aston Villa wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 16, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce

Volume$3.38K

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Aston Villa wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Aston Villa wins

If Aston Villa wins the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Aston

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the A

KALSHI

Fenerbahce wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Fenerbahce wins

If Fenerbahce wins the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Aston

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/dwM9z_" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce"></iframe>

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Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce

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Aston Villa wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce

Markets (3)

Aston Villa wins

Aston Villa wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Fenerbahce wins

Fenerbahce wins

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Aston Villa wins

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Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce

Aston Villa wins

Aston Villa wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Fenerbahce wins

Fenerbahce wins

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