Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Alaska diesel prices in Oct 2026

Total Volume

$23.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Alaska diesel prices in Oct 2026

Vol

$23.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $23.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $23.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.1000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.1000?	Kalshi	64%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.0000?	Kalshi	62%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.6000?	Kalshi	51%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.3000?	Kalshi	50%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.2000?	Kalshi	50%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.1000?	Kalshi	50%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.0000?	Kalshi	50%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.8000?	Kalshi	50%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.5000?	Kalshi	50%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.4000?	Kalshi	50%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.3000?	Kalshi	50%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.2000?	Kalshi	50%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.9000?	Kalshi	49%
Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.7000?	Kalshi	40%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

64%

Top Probability

$23.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October 31, 2026 If the Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 is strictly above X according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Alaska diesel prices in Oct 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 31, 2026

If the Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 is strictly above X according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 is strictly above $7.3000 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $23
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.3000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.2000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.1000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.0000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.9000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.8000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.7000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.6000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.5000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.4000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.3000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.2000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.1000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.0000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Alaska diesel prices in Oct 2026

Volume$23.00

Markets14

14 of 14

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.1000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.0¢No 36.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.1000?

If the Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 is strictly above $6.1000 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.0000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.0000?

If the Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 is strictly above $6.0000 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.6000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.6000?

If the Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 is strictly above $6.6000 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.3000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.3000?

If the Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 is strictly above $7.3000 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.2000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.2000?

If the Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 is strictly above $7.2000 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

51¢

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Alaska diesel prices in Oct 2026

Alaska diesel prices in Oct 2026

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Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.1000?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Alaska diesel prices in Oct 2026

Markets (14)

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.1000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.1000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.0000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.0000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.6000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.6000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.3000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.3000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.2000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.2000?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.1000?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Alaska diesel prices in Oct 2026

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.1000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.1000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.0000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.0000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.6000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $6.6000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.3000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.3000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.2000?

Will Alaska average diesel price on October 31, 2026 be above $7.2000?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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