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GroupPOLYMARKET

CA-36 House Election Winner

CA-36 House Election Winner
Vol

PM $86.2K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Ted Lieu (D) at 96.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Ted Lieu (D)96.5%
  2. Houston Brignano (R)2.6%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $86.2K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent

CA-24 House election: Bob Smith vote percent

K 8.6K contracts
Will Bob Smith receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?Yes 96.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-13 House election: Kevin Lincoln vote percent

CA-13 House election: Kevin Lincoln vote percent

K 3.0K contracts
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 97%
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 97%
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?Yes 94%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-03 House election: Robb Tucker vote percent

CA-03 House election: Robb Tucker vote percent

K 2.5K contracts
Will Robb Tucker receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-03 House election?Yes 91.5%
Will Robb Tucker receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-03 House election?Yes 80.5%
Will Robb Tucker receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-03 House election?Yes 65%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-33 House election: Stephanie Vargas vote percent

CA-33 House election: Stephanie Vargas vote percent

K 205 contracts
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?Yes 97%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?Yes 94.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-45 House election: Chuong Vo vote percent

CA-45 House election: Chuong Vo vote percent

K 2.7K contracts
Will Chuong Vo receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 97.5%
Will Chuong Vo receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 96%
Will Chuong Vo receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?Yes 90.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
CA-51 House election: Ricardo Cabrera vote percent

CA-51 House election: Ricardo Cabrera vote percent

K 1.6K contracts
Will Ricardo Cabrera receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-51 House election?Yes 97%
Will Ricardo Cabrera receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-51 House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Ricardo Cabrera receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-51 House election?Yes 83.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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