Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. New Haven Chargers
Total Volume
$1.66K
Events
1
Markets
1
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. New Haven Chargers
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $1.66K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $1.66K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. New Haven Chargers
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 75% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
75%
Top Probability
$1.66K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This event is for the CBB game between St. Francis (PA) Red Flash and New Haven Chargers on January 25 at 1:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting
Prediction markets give Central Connecticut State a 70% chance to beat St. Francis (PA) in their upcoming college basketball game. In simple terms, traders collectively believe there is roughly a 7 in 10 chance the Blue Devils win. This shows a clear, but not overwhelming, confidence in the road team.
Why the Market Sees It This Way
Two main factors are likely driving these odds. First, the teams' records are very different. Central Connecticut State is near the top of the Northeast Conference standings, while St. Francis (PA) has one of the league's worst records. Second, the result of their first meeting this season matters. Central Connecticut won that game convincingly by 22 points. Historical trends in conference play often show that such dominant performances can repeat in the second matchup, especially when there's a clear gap in team quality.
Key Dates and Events to Watch
The main event is the game itself, scheduled for February 28 at 1:00 PM ET. The only developments that could shift predictions before tip-off would be unexpected player absences due to injury or illness. Since this is the final game of the regular season for both teams, playoff seeding is already set, so motivation to rest players is low. The prediction will lock when the game begins.
How Reliable Are These Predictions?
For regular season college basketball games between known teams, prediction markets are generally accurate. They effectively combine public betting odds with the wisdom of informed traders watching injuries and trends. The main limitation here is the relatively small amount of money wagered (about $51,000), which can sometimes make prices more volatile. However, the strong fundamental reasons behind the odds suggest this forecast is a solid reflection of the likely outcome.
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets on Polymarket price Central Connecticut State as a heavy favorite to win this Northeast Conference matchup. The "Blue Devils to win" share trades at 86 cents, implying an 86% win probability. The "Red Flash to win" share trades at 14 cents, a 14% implied chance. This lopsided pricing indicates the market views a Central Connecticut victory as the overwhelming consensus outcome. With $51,000 in total volume, liquidity is thin, suggesting a limited pool of active traders focused on this specific game.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The market pricing directly reflects the teams' starkly divergent seasons and a clear home-court advantage. Central Connecticut State entered this game with a 17-10 overall record and sat near the top of the NEC standings. St. Francis (PA) was 7-20 and anchored at the conference's bottom. Beyond records, Central Connecticut's 11-2 home record at Detrick Gymnasium made them a formidable host. The Blue Devils also won the first meeting between these teams on January 20 by a decisive 20-point margin, 79-59. This historical result and the season-long performance gap are the primary drivers compressing the odds.
What Could Change These Odds
For a market with such a heavy favorite, the odds would only shift on game day due to unexpected player availability news, such as a key Central Connecticut starter being ruled out. In a low-major conference like the NEC, a single injury to a top scorer or defender can significantly alter a team's competitiveness. Absent such late-breaking news, the market expected the established trends of home dominance and team quality to hold. The 86% probability left a narrow path for an upset, typically requiring an anomalously poor shooting night from the favorite coupled with a season-best performance from the underdog.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.