Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)
Total Volume
$295.02
Events
1
Markets
1
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $295.02
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $295.02
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 51% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
51%
Top Probability
$295.02
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This event is for the WBB game between North Carolina Central Eagles and South Carolina State Bulldogs on January 31 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting
Prediction markets give the Howard Bison a strong advantage to win this college basketball game. The current odds imply a roughly 7 in 8 chance for Howard to win. This shows a high level of confidence among traders that Howard will defeat the North Carolina Central Eagles.
Why the Market Sees It This Way
Two main factors explain the lopsided odds. First, Howard has been the dominant team in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (MEAC) this season. They entered this game with a conference record of 9-1, while North Carolina Central was 6-4. Second, the teams played just two weeks ago, on February 5th, and Howard won that game by 9 points. Markets often weigh recent head-to-head results heavily. The combination of Howard's superior conference standing and their recent victory directly over their opponent makes them the clear favorite.
Key Dates and Events to Watch
The key event is the game itself, scheduled for 4:30 PM ET on February 21. The only thing that could shift the prediction before tip-off is an unexpected announcement, like a key player being ruled out due to injury or illness. Since the market resolves based on the game's final result, no other upcoming dates will change the outcome.
How Reliable Are These Predictions?
For regular-season college basketball games between known teams, prediction markets are generally accurate. They effectively aggregate many opinions about team strength and recent performance. The main limitation here is the relatively small amount of money wagered (about $2,000), which can sometimes make odds more volatile. However, the clear gap in team records and the recent head-to-head result make this a fairly straightforward forecast.
Current Market Outlook
The prediction market on Polymarket prices a Howard Bison victory at just 13 cents, implying a 13% win probability. This shows extreme confidence in a North Carolina Central Eagles win, with the market assigning an 87% chance to that outcome. For a conference matchup, this is a lopsided forecast. The total market volume is only $2,000, indicating thin liquidity. This low volume means the current price is more sensitive to small trades and may not reflect a deeply held consensus.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The primary factor is Howard's severe road struggles. Entering this game, the Bison have a 1-10 record in true road games. Their defense allows over 80 points per game on average, a significant weakness the Eagles are positioned to exploit. North Carolina Central, especially at home, is a strong defensive team that controls tempo. Historical performance in MEAC play also favors the Eagles, who have consistently been near the top of the conference standings while Howard has languished near the bottom. The market is pricing in these clear, fundamental disparities in team quality and venue.
What Could Change These Odds
A major injury report for North Carolina Central before tip-off could shift probabilities, but no such news is currently circulating. The most likely path to an odds shift is Howard performing against its season-long trend. If the Bison shoot exceptionally well from three-point range early, the live market could see rapid repricing. However, given Howard's consistent defensive failures, the 13% price for an upset reflects the reasonable view that a single hot shooting night is unlikely to overcome their systemic problems. The market expects a comfortable Eagles victory.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.