Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

Name: M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda
End: 2026-10-19T09:30:00.000Z

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$0.00

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M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

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$0.00

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Polymarket

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Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Set Handicap: Mario Arce Fernandez (-1.5) vs Thomas Miranda (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Set Handicap: Mario Arce Fernandez (-1.5) vs Thomas Miranda (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Thomas Miranda (-1.5) vs Mario Arce Fernandez (+1.5)	Poly	50%
M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda	Poly	42%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Thomas Miranda in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Thomas Miranda. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Miranda' if Thomas Miranda advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 19, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Thomas Miranda in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Thomas Miranda.

This market will resolve to 'Thomas Miranda' if Thomas Miranda advances against Mario Arce Fernandez.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Thomas Miranda in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Thomas Miranda.

This market wi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $83
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Mario Arce Fernandez: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [Thomas Miranda: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Mario Arce Fernandez (-1.5) vs Thomas Miranda (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Mario Arce Fernandez: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Thomas Miranda: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Thomas Miranda (-1.5) vs Mario Arce Fernandez (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Thomas Miranda: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Mario Arce Fernandez: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

Volume$0.00

Markets3

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POLYMARKET

M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Mario Arce Fernandez (-1.5) vs Thomas Miranda (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Mario Arce Fernandez (-1.5) vs Thomas Miranda (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Thomas Miranda in the M15 Monastir, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Mario Arce Fernandez" if Mario Arce Fernandez wins by 2 or more sets than Thomas Miranda, based on the fina

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Thomas Miranda (-1.5) vs Mario Arce Fernandez (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Thomas Miranda (-1.5) vs Mario Arce Fernandez (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Thomas Miranda and Mario Arce Fernandez in the M15 Monastir, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Thomas Miranda" if Thomas Miranda wins by 2 or more sets than Mario Arce Fernandez, based on the final comp

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Oct 19, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

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47¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/eAR-SP" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda"></iframe>

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M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

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Set Handicap: Mario Arce Fernandez (-1.5) vs Thomas Miranda (+1.5)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

Markets (3)

M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

Set Handicap: Mario Arce Fernandez (-1.5) vs Thomas Miranda (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Mario Arce Fernandez (-1.5) vs Thomas Miranda (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Thomas Miranda (-1.5) vs Mario Arce Fernandez (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Thomas Miranda (-1.5) vs Mario Arce Fernandez (+1.5)

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Set Handicap: Mario Arce Fernandez (-1.5) vs Thomas Miranda (+1.5)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

M15 Monastir: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Thomas Miranda

Set Handicap: Mario Arce Fernandez (-1.5) vs Thomas Miranda (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Mario Arce Fernandez (-1.5) vs Thomas Miranda (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Thomas Miranda (-1.5) vs Mario Arce Fernandez (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Thomas Miranda (-1.5) vs Mario Arce Fernandez (+1.5)

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