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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLB: Number of no-hitters thrown in 2026

Name: MLB: Number of no-hitters thrown in 2026
End: 2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.34K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLB: Number of no-hitters thrown in 2026

Vol

$2.34K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.34K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.34K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will there be 2+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be 2+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	Poly	50%
Will there be 3+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	Poly	49%
Will there be 4+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	Poly	49%
Will there be 5+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	Poly	40%
Will there be 6+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	Poly	35%
Will there be 7+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	Poly	26%
Will there be 8+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	Poly	25%
Will there be 10+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	Poly	21%
Will there be 9+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?	Poly	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$2.34K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason) equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No” If no no-hitters are thrown during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason), the market will resolve to “No”. A ‘no-hitter’ is a complete game in which a pitcher(s) yields no hits to the opposing team. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, October 8, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLB: Number of no-hitters thrown in 2026
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 28, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason) equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”

If no no-hitters are thrown during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason), the market will resolve to “No”.

A ‘no-hitter’ is a complete game in which a pitcher(s) yields no hits to the opposing team.

If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason) equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”

If no no-hitters are thrown during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason), the market will"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $693
* **Total Liquidity:** $523
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.33)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be 2+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be 3+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will there be 4+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $110
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will there be 5+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $56
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will there be 6+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $47
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will there be 7+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $89
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will there be 8+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $134
  DATA: [Yes: 25.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will there be 9+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $205
  DATA: [Yes: 12.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will there be 10+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $52
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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