
Pro Football: 2026-27 Interceptions Thrown Leader
PM $0 · K 4.8K contracts
2
65
Pro Football: 2026-27 Interceptions Thrown Leader

PM $0 · K 4.8K contracts
2
65
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, Aaron Rodgers is priced at 49.5% on Polymarket and 1% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron RodgersSame question, fine print differs | 49.5% | 1% | 48.5 pts |
| Baker MayfieldSame question, fine print differs | 49.5% | 1% | 48.5 pts |
| Bo NixSame question, fine print differs | 49.5% | 1% | 48.5 pts |
| Brock PurdySame question, fine print differs | 49.5% | 1% | 48.5 pts |
| Bryce YoungSame question, fine print differs | 49.5% | 1% | 48.5 pts |
| C.J. StroudSame question, fine print differs | 49.5% | 1% | 48.5 pts |
| Cam WardSame question, fine print differs | 49.5% | 1% | 48.5 pts |
| Caleb WilliamsSame question, fine print differs | 49.5% | 0.5% | 49.0 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0 · K 4.8K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
65
Saved contracts
30
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions thrown. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher interception percentage (interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with fewer passing touchdowns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in interceptions thrown within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T15:00:06.762Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event, "Pro Football: 2026-27 Interceptions Thrown Leader," is listed on Polymarket [1]. Each contract asks whether a named quarterback will finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions thrown [1]. The rules break a tie first by the higher interception percentage, defined as interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts, then by fewer passing touchdowns. If a tie persists, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The market also resolves to "Other" if the regular season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if it is unclear who led the NFL in interceptions thrown [1]. The stated resolution source is official information from the NFL, though "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-12T23:59:00.000Z [1]. This is the provider's listed close time. It is not an announced season end date or a resolution date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-02T15:00:06.762Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-02T16:22:48.561Z [1]. These values are recorded snapshots, not live or executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. In the included sample, each of twelve player contracts shows a Yes price of 0.495 and a No price of 0.505 [1]. Because the included contracts share identical prices, the sample does not separate these players from one another.
The event lists 35 markets, but only 12 are included, so this is a partial sample [1]. The selection ordered markets by Yes price and then by volume, but the evidence does not report volume figures. The prices of the 23 omitted markets are not available, so no conclusion about their relative prices is supported. Each contract is a separate market, and differences between contracts should not be averaged or treated as an arbitrage signal.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices sit at these levels. It also does not show how many traders hold either side, what liquidity exists, or how the omitted markets are priced. It includes no information about the season's progress or recent player news. Readers should check the provider's current page and the NFL's official information before drawing conclusions.
References
- Polymarket: Pro Football: 2026-27 Interceptions Thrown Leader. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T15:00:06.762Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract is part of PredictPedia's coverage of the Polymarket event "Pro Football: 2026-27 Interceptions Thrown Leader" [1]. It asks which player will finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions thrown [1]. The event is in the Sports category and its provider status is active [1]. The listed end time for the contract is 2027-01-12 23:59 UTC [1]. That date comes from the contract rules and is not a confirmed event date. The contract rules set a tiebreaker order. If two or more players tie for the most interceptions, the market favors the tied player with the higher interception percentage, defined as interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts during the regular season [1]. If the tie still holds, the market favors the player with fewer passing touchdowns during the regular season [1]. If the tie still persists after that, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The rules also address disruption. If the season ends early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome is determined from available NFL statistics for completed games [1]. If the regular season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the league in interceptions thrown in that window, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The stated resolution source is official NFL information, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The saved snapshot covers 12 markets from an event that contains 35 markets [1]. Each market asks whether one named player will lead the regular season in interceptions thrown. The sample is partial, so it does not represent the full field of players in the event. The sample is also not a ranking across different events or providers.
Historical Context
Historical records for interceptions are listed separately from this contract. A Wikipedia list of NFL career interceptions thrown leaders states that Brett Favre holds the career regular season record with 336 interceptions thrown, and that Tom Brady holds the career playoff record with 40 [2]. The same source says its current stats are updated from Pro Football Reference [2]. These are career totals and do not measure the single season that this contract covers. The 2026 NFL season is described as the 107th season of the league [3]. Its regular season began on September 9, 2026 and is described as ending on January 10, 2027 [3]. The source describes these dates as scheduled, and the playoffs and Super Bowl LXI are described as later events [3]. This background comes from an encyclopedia entry and does not verify what has happened in games.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which single player leads the NFL in interceptions thrown during the 2026-27 regular season [1]. Its rules specify how ties are broken and what happens if the season is cut short or cancelled [1]. Those rules determine whether a result is decided by a player or resolves to "Other" [1]. The price on each market is a snapshot of the market at one moment and is not an executable quote. A price is also not a verified probability of the outcome. Trading volume in the saved event does not indicate how much liquidity exists or how many people traded [1]. Because the sample is partial and the markets are separate contracts, differences between prices should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-02 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Who decides the winner of this contract?
The contract states that the resolution source is official information from the NFL, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
What happens if two players finish with the same number of interceptions?
The rules use the higher interception percentage, calculated as interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts, as the first tiebreaker. If the tie persists, the player with fewer passing touchdowns is favored. If it still persists, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
What happens if the season is cancelled or postponed?
If the 2026-27 regular season is cancelled, or postponed after January 26, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. If the season ends early or is truncated, the outcome uses available NFL statistics for completed games [1].
Does the market show every player in the event?
No. The saved event lists 35 markets, and 12 are included in this sample [1]. The sample is partial and should not be treated as the full field.
Does the price equal the chance that a player will lead the league?
No. Prices are snapshots and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Volume also does not indicate liquidity or the number of traders [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Pro Football: 2026-27 Interceptions Leader (Team)
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PM $17.2K · K 69.0K contractsWill Will Anderson Jr. have 15+ sacks in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
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Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
30
Same-question pairs
30
Largest saved gap: 49.0 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
