
Stony Brook vs New Hampshire
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Stony Brook vs New Hampshire

K 3.89 contracts
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Stony Brook at 61.5%.
Kalshi
- Stony Brook61.5%
- New Hampshire36%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 3.89 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
STON vs UNH (Nov 14) If X wins the Stony Brook vs New Hampshire college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-08T03:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The source is a Kalshi event for the college football game between Stony Brook and New Hampshire, originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 [1]. The rules state that if X wins the game, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The event has two separate contracts: one for "Stony Brook wins" and one for "New Hampshire wins" [1].
The wording covers several edge cases. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a "fair price" [1]. The rules do not define "fair price" in the supplied excerpt, so readers should check the full rulebook before relying on that case. The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1].
The listed end date for both contracts is 2026-11-16T18:00:00.000Z [1]. The source excerpt says the listed end time was not supplied, so this date is a provider field, not a confirmed game time or an announced resolution date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-08T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-08T06:26:19Z [1]. These prices describe that observation only. They are not live quotes and may have changed since they were recorded.
At observation, the Yes price for "Stony Brook wins" was 0.67, and the Yes price for "New Hampshire wins" was 0.31 [1]. Each contract is listed separately, so these figures should be read one contract at a time. They should not be combined into a single averaged estimate. The prices are not verified probabilities, and they are not executable quotes. The sum of the two Yes prices is not a reason to treat the contracts as an arbitrage opportunity.
The sample includes both saved markets for this single event. The coverage record reports 2 total markets, 2 included markets, and no partial sample [1]. The source notes that the saved markets are all included, but this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. The source also does not provide volume or trader counts, so this snapshot cannot indicate liquidity or how many participants hold each view.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not explain why prices are where they are. It also does not include recent news about the teams, the game schedule, or any postponement. The listed end date is a provider field, and the source states that the listed end time was not supplied [1]. Readers should check the provider page directly for the current status, prices, and rules.
References
- Kalshi: Stony Brook vs New Hampshire. Provider data observed 2026-11-08T03:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 8, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a sports event market on a college football game between Stony Brook and New Hampshire, which the listing says was originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 [1]. The provider is Kalshi, and its event listing identifies the market as a college football game in the Sports category [1]. The saved snapshot shows two markets for this event: one on whether Stony Brook wins and one on whether New Hampshire wins [1]. The Stony Brook market shows Yes and No outcomes, as does the New Hampshire market, so each side is a separate yes or no contract. The resolution rules are the core of the contract. If X wins the game originally scheduled for November 14, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The rules also address postponement. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result [1]. If the game is cancelled, or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price rather than to a winner [1]. The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The timing has several parts that should not be confused. The saved snapshot was observed at 03:00 UTC on November 8, 2026, and the source record was retrieved at 06:26 UTC on the same day [1]. The provider status at that snapshot was active, and the provider did not supply a listed end time in the saved record [1]. The saved market data includes an end date of November 16, 2026 at 18:00 UTC for both markets [1]. That field describes the saved market record, and it is not a statement that the game will be played or decided on that date. The game's originally scheduled date is November 14, 2026, according to the contract rules [1]. The Kalshi listing states that the platform is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA, and that trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners [1]. This matters because the contract concerns a game that falls under NCAA football, but the market itself is operated by a separate provider. For background on the teams, the supplied Wikipedia material describes the Stony Brook Seawolves football program as representing Stony Brook University at the NCAA Division I Football Championship Subdivision level, competing in CAA Football, and playing at the 12,300-seat Kenneth P. LaValle Stadium [2]. It also describes Stony Brook University as a public research university in Stony Brook, New York, and one of two flagship institutions in the State University of New York system [3]. These pages are general reference material and do not establish the status of the game, the teams' current records, or the outcome of any match.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single binary outcome: whether Stony Brook or New Hampshire wins the college football game originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 [1]. Each market pays out based on that winner, and the provider describes the game as the basis for resolution [1]. Because the postponement and cancellation rules change how a market settles, a reader should check those terms before interpreting any price. A game that is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its original start remains tied to the final official result, while a game that is cancelled or does not begin within that window resolves to a fair price instead [1]. The contract therefore measures more than the final score alone; it also depends on whether and when the game is actually played. The saved snapshot prices are a point-in-time view of how the two markets were trading when the data was recorded. They are not guaranteed to be executable at those levels, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of the result.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-08 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Stony Brook wins market resolve on?
The market resolves to Yes if Stony Brook wins the college football game originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result [1].
What happens if the game is cancelled?
If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price [1].
When does the market close?
The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The saved provider record did not supply a listed end time for the event, but the saved market data includes an end date of November 16, 2026 at 18:00 UTC [1].
Is this contract affiliated with the NCAA?
No. The provider states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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