GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Name: Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?
End: 2026-10-28T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$37.15K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Vol

$37.15K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $37.15K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $37.15K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	70%
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	31%
Will Trump endorse Yashar in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	1%
Will Trump endorse Together in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	1%
Will Trump endorse Shas in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	0%
Will Trump endorse Blue and White in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	0%
Will Trump endorse Religious Zionism in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	0%
Will Trump endorse UTJ in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	0%
Will Trump endorse Otzma Yehudit in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	0%
Will Trump endorse Yisrael Beiteinu in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	0%
Will Trump endorse Hadash–Ta'al in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	0%
Will Trump endorse Democrats in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	0%
Will Trump endorse New Hope in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	0%
Will Trump endorse Noam in the 2026 Israeli Election?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

70%

Top Probability

$37.15K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a pa

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? 
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 28, 2026 (53 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. 

In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a pa

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. 

In the event that Donald Trump endorses a "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $37.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $113.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.33)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $16.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump endorse Together in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump endorse Shas in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $579
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump endorse Blue and White in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump endorse Religious Zionism in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $866
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump endorse UTJ in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump endorse Otzma Yehudit in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trump endorse Yisrael Beiteinu in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $451
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Trump endorse Yashar in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Trump endorse Hadash–Ta'al in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $371
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Trump endorse Democrats in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $446
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Trump endorse New Hope in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $450
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Trump endorse Noam in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $446
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $9.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics