Name: Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
End: 2027-01-01T05:00:00.000Z

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Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $5.91M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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Volume DistributionTotal: $5.91M

100%

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14 markets tracked

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

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Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Poly	71%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Poly	69%
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Poly	57%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Poly	44%
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Poly	26%
Will Opensea FDV be above $1999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	15%
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Poly	10%
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Poly	7%
Will Opensea FDV be above $4999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	6%
Will Opensea FDV be above $7999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	5%
Will Opensea FDV be above $9999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	4%
Will Opensea FDV be above $11999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	4%
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Poly	4%
Will Opensea FDV be above $14999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

71%

Top Probability

$5.91M

Volume

Markets

30.0%

Price Gap

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Opensea FDV be at 1 day after launch?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM

If Opensea's fully diluted valuation, FDV, as displayed on CoinGecko is above X at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes. The FDV must be the value shown in the "FDV" field on the coin's main CoinGecko page, not calculated from other metrics. If no data is available at the specified time, the last FDV value shown before that time on the date will be used. If the coin is delisted from CoinGecko before the measurement date, the last record

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Opensea's fully diluted valuation (FDV) as displayed on CoinGecko is above 9999999999.99 at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The FDV must be the value shown in the "FDV" field on the coin's main CoinGecko page, not calculated from other met"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.91M
* **Total Liquidity:** $75.1K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 78.65)
* **Platform Split:** Polymarket (8 mkts) vs Kalshi (6 mkts)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Opensea FDV be above $9999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Opensea FDV be above $7999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Opensea FDV be above $4999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Opensea FDV be above $1999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Opensea FDV be above $14999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Opensea FDV be above $11999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.94M
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.04M
  DATA: [Yes: 43.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.2% (0.0%)]

### 9. Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $713.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $430.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $455.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $207.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $68.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 68.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.1% (0.0%)]

### 14. Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $54.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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KALSHICrypto

What will Opensea FDV be at 1 day after launch?

Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM If Opensea's fully diluted valuation, FDV, as displayed on CoinGecko is above X at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes. The FDV must be the value shown in the "FDV" field on the coin's main CoinGecko page, not calculated from other metrics. If no data is available at the specified time, the last FDV value shown before that time on the date will be used. If the coin is delisted from CoinGecko before the measurement date, the last record

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POLYMARKETCrypto