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SGE at SVW (Jan 16) If Bremen wins by more than X goals in the Frankfurt at Bremen professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Jan 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Prediction markets currently assign an 18% probability to Eintracht Frankfurt defeating Werder Bremen by more than 1.5 goals. This low price indicates the market views a decisive Frankfurt away victory as unlikely. With the spread set at -1.5 goals, a "Yes" outcome requires Frankfurt to win by at least two goals, such as 2-0, 3-1, or a larger margin. An 18% chance translates to roughly a 1 in 5.5 probability, suggesting bettors see this as a distinctly minority outcome.
Two primary factors are suppressing the odds for a large Frankfurt win. First, the historical and competitive context of Bundesliga fixtures makes large away victories relatively rare, especially between mid-table contenders. Frankfurt, while capable of strong performances, has not consistently demonstrated the dominant away form required to justify high confidence in a multi-goal margin. Second, Werder Bremen's home record at the Weserstadion typically shows resilience. Markets are pricing in Bremen's ability to keep the match competitive, or at least avoid a heavy defeat, based on their historical home performance against similar opponents. The thin trading volume of $4,000 also suggests this is a specialist market without strong consensus, allowing cautious sentiment to dominate.
Team news and lineup announcements in the 24-48 hours before kickoff on January 16, 2026, will be the most immediate catalyst. A major injury to a key Bremen defender or the confirmed absence of a top attacking player for the home side could see the probability rise. Conversely, if Frankfurt's squad is reported to be missing crucial offensive players, the current 18% could fall further. The market is also highly sensitive to pre-match tactical news. If managerial comments or press reports indicate Frankfurt will deploy an unusually aggressive, high-pressing lineup while Bremen plans a defensively vulnerable approach, smart money may flow in and shift the odds significantly before the early market close at kickoff.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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4 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
Frankfurt wins by over 1.5 goals? | Kalshi | 18% |
Bremen wins by over 1.5 goals? | Kalshi | 16% |
Frankfurt wins by over 2.5 goals? | Kalshi | 7% |
Bremen wins by over 2.5 goals? | Kalshi | 6% |
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