Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Name: Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
End: 2026-10-28T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$15.23K

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Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Vol

$15.23K

Events

Markets

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Polymarket

markets · $15.23K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.23K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	51%
Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	40%
Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	3%
Will Shas win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	1%
Will The Democrats win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	1%
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	1%
Will United Torah Judaism win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	1%
Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	1%
Will Blue and White win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	1%
Will Ra'am win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	1%
Will Amcha Yisrael win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	1%
Will Noam win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	1%
Will RZP-Zehut win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	1%
Will Joint List win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	1%
Will The Reservists and the Economic Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$15.23K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or co

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 28, 2026 (17 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or co

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

The named parties and coalitions will be primarily "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $359.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $964
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Shas win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $258
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $9.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will The Democrats win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $253
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Otzma Yehudit win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $219
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Blue and White win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $259
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Yisrael Beiteinu win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $258
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will United Torah Judaism win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $379
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will RZP-Zehut win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $404
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Joint List win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $354
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Ra'am win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $209
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Amcha Yisrael win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $209
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Noam win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $209
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will The Reservists and the Economic Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 28, 2026): Vol $409
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics