Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Name: Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$239.10

Events

Markets

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Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $239.10

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $239.10

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	Poly	64%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

64%

Top Probability

$239.10

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be o

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (349 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be o

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $239
* **Total Liquidity:** $962
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.25)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $239
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

348d 12h remaining

Dec 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

64¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/eZUG4b" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?"></iframe>

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Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

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Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)